Observed and projected decline in Arctic sea-ice area

Figure Created 23 Nov 2021 Published 09 Dec 2021 Last modified 20 Dec 2022
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This page was archived on 20 Dec 2022 with reason: Other (New version data-and-maps/figures/observed-and-projected-decline-in-2 was published)
This figure combines two data sources. The left part shows the observed change in Arctic sea ice are (individual observations and trend lines) over the period 1979 to 2021 for March (maximum ice cover) and September (minimum ice cover). The right part shows projections of Arctic sea ice area in March and September from CMIP6 simulations for three emissions scenarios. The thick lines denote the multimodel ensemble mean (24-27 models, depending on the scenario), and the shading shows the likely uncertainty interval (one standard deviation around the multimodel mean). The dashed line indicates a threshold for near ice-free conditions."

European data


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Filed under: climate change, arctic, sea ice
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