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Forest fire danger in the present climate and projected changes under two climate change scenarios

Figure Created 03 Dec 2019 Published 03 Dec 2019 Last modified 29 Jun 2021
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Climate change assessment of the Fire Weather Index (FWI) aggregated component, computed daily from 1980 to 2100 for five models for two scenarios (2°C global warming and RCP8.5 high emissions scenario at the end of this century) (see Table 4 in De Rigo et al., 2017). The daily FWI was computed for each scenario based on the corresponding model. The entire time series was estimated and the 90% quartile of each time period computed. The median of the five-model ensemble is shown for each period.

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Adapted from Figure 8 of: de Rigo, D., Libertà, G., Houston Durrant, T., Artés Vivancos, T., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., 2017. Forest fire danger extremes in Europe under climate change: variability and uncertainty. Publication Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 71 pp. ISBN: 978-92-79-77046-3 , https://doi.org/10.2760/13180

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Filed under: forest fires, projections
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