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The greenhouse gas emissions will decline if the proposed measures are successfully implemented.
Emission projections presented within the fifth National Communication of the Czech Republic on the UNFCCC included three scenarios:
Additional measures included are:
The results are shown in Figure. According to these projections, in the case of the scenario with measures, a reduction in total greenhouse gas emissions of 12 % between 2005 and 2020 can be expected (122.5 Gg CO2eq. in 2020), the scenario with additional measures predicts a decrease in emissions of 18.4% (113.8 Gg CO2eq. in 2020). However, if no measures are implemented, an increase in emissions of 3.2 % (143.8 Gg CO2eq. in 2020) will be recorded (scenario without measures).
A substantial reduction will occur in industry (an effect of the EU ETS), agriculture and the residential sector (effect of the Green Investment Scheme). Projections of transport emissions are dependent on the shares of modes of transport in the total volume of transport, on development of vehicles and fuels and improvement of the infrastructure.
In the model calculation of the emission projections from energy-production processes, it was assumed that the Temelín nuclear power plant would be in normal operation throughout the monitored period, that the Dukovany nuclear power plant would be reconstructed in order to prolong its lifetime and will be in normal operation throughout the period of interest, and that there will be no limits on petroleum, gas and black coal imports after 2004 and that exports would be approximately 15 TWh annually until 2010, with a decrease to 10 TWh after 2010.
Further information is available online (fifth National Communication) .
For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/soer/2010/countries/cz/climate-change-mitigation-outlook-2020 or scan the QR code.
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