Climate change mitigation - Outlook 2020 (Spain)

The table below summarises greenhouse gas emission projections and their growth over the base year of the Kyoto Protocol. It presents three different emission projection scenarios — baseline (without measures), base (with measures) and target (with additional measures). Compliance with the second scenario and the emission data estimated for 2008 indicate Spain will meet the path of compliance with established objectives: increase in GHG emissions in the period of 2008-2012 less than 37 %, to reach +15 % set by the Protocol, +2 % by sinks and the rest (20 %) using the flexibility mechanisms (the acquisition of carbon credits).

The national emission projections built up on emission inventory 1990-2007 have been provisionally updated (please note this provisional update does not constitute a new official edition) taking into account the methodological improvements incorporated into emission inventory 1990-2008. According to this update, expected 2008–2012 average annual emissions are 32.81% above the base year of KP.

The graph below shows emission projections for the three scenarios defined above and the target. It should be noted that the projections are based on the 1990–2007 data series and do not reflect the fall in emissions recorded in the 1990–2008 series.

Source:

• MARM, 2009. Projections for Air Pollutant Emissions in Spain.  http://www.mma.es/secciones/calidad_contaminacion/atmosfera/emisiones/pdf/Sumario_de_Proyecciones_Nacionales_de_Emisiones.pdf
• MARM, 2009. Fifth National Report on Spain. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (draft pending publication).