Climate change effects on Chikungunya transmission in Europe
External Data Spec
Published 14 Jun 2016
The climatic suitability for Chikungunya outbreaks was determined by using bioclimatic factors that influence, both vector and, pathogen. Climatic suitability for the European distribution of the vector Aedes albopictus was based upon previous correlative environmental niche models. Climatic risk classes were derived by combining climatic suitability for the vector with known temperature requirements for pathogen transmission, obtained from outbreak regions. In addition, the longest potential intra-annual season for Chikungunya transmission was estimated for regions with expected vector occurrences.
In order to analyse spatio-temporal trends for risk exposure and season of transmission in Europe, climate change impacts are projected for three time-frames (2011–2040, 2041–2070 and 2071–2100) and two climate scenarios (A1B and B1) from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). These climatic projections are based on regional climate model COSMO-CLM, which builds on the global model ECHAM5.
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Provider:
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)
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Dataset URL:
- http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1476-072X-12-51
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Dataset path:
The dataset URL is not available. Please contact the organisation or the authors for further clarification.
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Other comments:
Further information is available here:
Fischer, D., Thomas, S. M., Suk, J. E., Sudre, B., Hess, A., Tjaden, N. B., Beierkuhnlein, C. and Semenza, J. C., 2013, 'Climate change effects on chikungunya transmission in Europe: Geospatial analysis of vector's climatic suitability and virus' temperature requirements', International Journal of Health Geographics 12, 51
(doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-12-51).
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