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Most of these interactions are intimately linked and set to unfold over decades. All are likely to have important implications for living standards and well-being.
The European environment's status, trends and prospects have always depended in part on events outside its borders. Yet the growing importance of global networks and flows has augmented this interdependence, creating complex challenges for traditional governance systems framed within national or regional territories. To design effective ways to manage the environmental changes ahead, societies and governments need to understand the global drivers at work and their potential implications.
With this challenge in mind, the EEA in 2010 produced its first assessment of emerging global trends as part of its five-yearly flagship report on the European environment's state and outlook (SOER 2010). The exploratory analysis summarised 11 global megatrends (GMTs) grouped into five clusters — social, technological, economic, environmental and governance. Introducing the issues succinctly, it sought to trigger a discussion about how Europe should monitor and assess future changes in order to better inform environmental policymaking.
In preparation for the SOER 2015, the EEA conducted an update of the assessment of global megatrends, analyzing each of these drivers in more detail than previously in terms of their impacts on the European environment and well-being. In 2015, the chapters below will be consolidated into a single EEA technical report.
1. Diverging global population trends
3. Changing disease burdens and risks of pandemics
4. Accelerating technological change
6. An increasingly multipolar world
7. Intensified global competition for resources
8. Growing pressures on ecosystems
9. Increasingly severe consequences of climate change
10. Increasing environmental pollution
For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/archived/copy_of_scenarios/global-megatends/global-megatends or scan the QR code.
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