Projected change in relative sea level, 2081–2100

Figure Created 15 May 2017 Published 14 Jun 2017 Last modified 15 May 2017
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The map shows the projected change in relative sea level in 2081-2100 compared to 1986-2005 for the medium-low emission scenario RCP4.5 based on an ensemble of CMIP5 climate models. Projections consider land movement due to glacial isostatic adjustment but not land subsidence due to human activities. No projections are available for the Black Sea.

European data (XML)

GIS data


Additional information

Source: adapted from Figure TS-23.b in the Working Group I contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC).
Data was supplied by Mark Carson (ZMAW, Germany), who is a contributing author to Chapter 13 of that IPCC report.



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