Current situation and projected changes in days with high fire danger (FWI value > 30) in Europe

The top panel shows the 1986-2005 mean values based on the ensemble model mean of the historical simulations. The central row and bottom row show the projected values and projected changes, respectively, of the lower (minimum) and upper (maximum) bounds of model simulations for the for near and far future. The size of the model ensemble used for each scenario is reported in the time-series figure above. The spatial resolution is 0.11 ° × 0.11 °.