Annual days with high fire danger (FWI value > 30) for the European land area and sub-regions

Solid grey, blue, yellow and red lines represent the ensemble mean of projections for the historical period and under low-, medium- and high-emissions scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively) (smoothed by a 20-year moving average) from 1971 to 2098. Shaded areas show the lower (minimum) and upper (maximum) bounds of the model ensembles. The dashed horizontal lines show the means for 1986-2005 computed from the model ensemble means of historical simulations. The size of the model ensemble used for each scenario is shown by the coloured numbers in the top-right corner.