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In 2023, the European Union reached its 2020 target to reduce greenhouse gas emission intensity of fuels sold for road transport to 6% below 2010 levels for the first time. Between 2010 and 2023, the emission intensity decreased by 6.3%, mostly because of the increased use of biofuels. Twelve countries have succeeded in reducing their emission intensities by at least 6%.
Figure 1. Average greenhouse gas intensity of road transport fuels in the EU, 2010-2023
Transport is responsible for more than a quarter of the European Union’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and a major contributor to climate change. Cutting GHG emissions from transport is pivotal to achieving the
To support a reduction in GHG emissions from transport, the set a target for fuel suppliers. They should reduce the emission intensity of fuels sold in the EU by 6% by 2020 and beyond, compared with 2010 levels. Relatively consistent reductions were achieved from 2018 to 2020, but then stagnated at 5.6% through 2022. In 2023, reductions reached and surpassed the 2020 target level at 6.3%.
The overall reduction in emission intensity of road transport fuels is mainly attributed to an increase in the use of biofuels. Biofuels have a lower emission intensity than fossil fuels. During this period, the share of biofuels in overall fuel sales grew from 4.5% to 7%. Furthermore, the emission intensity of biofuels has been falling since 2018. This is due to a small reduction in the use of oil-based crops such as palm oil and sunflower seed, which generally have a higher emission intensity than other feedstocks used for biofuel production.
It is important to ensure that rising demands for biofuels do not negatively impact land use by displacing the production of food and feed crops. The demand may also drive the conversion of land, such as forests and wetlands, to agricultural land leading indirectly to increased GHG emissions. This is known as indirect land use change (ILUC). The FQD requires that Member States identify the feedstock from which their biofuels originate and should estimate the emissions resulting from ILUC for certain feedstocks.
Emissions from ILUC are not considered when assessing compliance of the 6% 2020 reduction target. If ILUC is taken into account, the average GHG emission intensity of fuels consumed in 2023 is only 4.8% lower than in 2010. It has been declining since 2018 because of the reduced use of oil crops, which are substituted by sugars with lower GHG intensity.
Figure 2. Average greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity reduction of road transport fuels in Member States, between 2010-2023
Progress towards meeting the 6% reduction target varies widely across Member States. In 2023, 12 countries succeeded in decreasing their emission intensities by more than 6%. Sweden and Finland achieved the highest reductions (26.1% and 11.5% respectively) because their road transport fuel mixes have relatively high proportions of biofuels (29.4% and 14.3%). On average, the biofuels used have relatively low emission intensities (10g CO2e/MJ, 15.8g CO2e/MJ, respectively).
Between 2010 and 2023, Croatia (increased its GHG intensity by 0.4% with respect to 2010 EU average) and Latvia (0.4%) were the two Member States with the lowest reduction in emission intensities. Both countries have a low share of biofuels in their fuel mix (0% and 0.1%, respectively) and much higher biofuel emission intensities (38.2g CO2e/MJ for Croatia and 20.4g CO2e/MJ for Latvia).
The impact of ILUC on emission intensity reductions largely depends on the feedstocks used to produce biofuels. Oil crops, with the highest emission intensity among biofuel feedstocks, are used extensively in several Member States, including Poland and Romania (79.6% and 78.1% respectively). If ILUC effects are considered, the GHG emission intensity of these biofuels is only marginally lower than diesel produced from fossil fuels (i.e. 81.5g CO2e/MJ in Romania versus 95.1g CO2e/MJ for diesel).