The probabilistic implications for global temperature increase up to year 2400
Figure
Created 12 Nov 2009
Published 12 Nov 2009
Last modified 07 Jun 2017
1
min read
Topics:
Climate change adaptation
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Above preindustrial levels for pathways stabilising at 450 and 550 ppm CO2equivalent concentration levels (upper row) and the pathways that peak at 510 and 550 ppm respectively (lower row)
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Last upload:
- 30 Sep 2008
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Temporal coverage:
- Dynamic
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Tags:
- climate change , climate , temperatures
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- Access is managed by the owner mentioned below. Please contact the owner for more information about their data policy.
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Owners:
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL)
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Figure type:
- Graph
Additional information
The FAIRSiMCaP pathways shown are those for the B2 baseline scenario based on a climate sensitivity that assumes the 1.54.5 oC uncertainty range for climate sensitivity (IPCC TAR), being a 90 % confidence interval of a lognormal distribution. Shown are the median (thick solid line) and 90 % confidence interval boundaries (dashed lines), as well as the 1, 10, 33, 66, 90, and 99 % percentiles (borders of shaded areas). Probability density function is based on Wigley and Raper, 2001.
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For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/the-probabilistic-implications-for-global-temperature-increase-up-to-year-2400 or scan the QR code.
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