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Trends and projections in Europe 2017

Publication Created 26 Oct 2017 Published 07 Nov 2017

Topics: Climate change mitigation ,

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Tracking progress towards Europe's climate and energy targets

Publication Created 26 Oct 2017 Published 07 Nov 2017

Topics: Climate change mitigation ,

EEA Report No 17/2017

Tracking progress towards Europe's climate and energy targets

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Data references

Member States' greenhouse gas (GHG) emission projections The Monitoring Mechanism Regulation ((EC) No 525/2013) requires Member States to report national projections of anthropogenic GHG emissions. Every two years, each EU Member State shall report GHG projections in a ‘with existing measures’ scenario for the years 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035, by gas (or group of gases) and by sector. National projections shall take into consideration any policies and measures adopted at Union level. The reported data are quality checked by the EEA and its European Topic Centre for Air Pollution and Climate Change Mitigation (ETC/ACM).

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Share of renewable energy in gross final energy consumption

Progress of renewable energy sources by country

Progress of renewable energy sources

News and articles

Greenhouse gas emissions across EU drop slightly in 2016 Greenhouse gas emissions across the European Union decreased modestly in 2016, according to estimates published in the latest climate ‘trends and projections’ assessments released today by the European Environment Agency (EEA). The estimates confirm that the EU remains on track to meet its emission reduction target set for 2020, but more work is needed to meet longer-term goals.

Related briefings

Country profiles - greenhouse gases and energy 2017 This section presents country profiles containing key data on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, renewable energy and energy efficiency for each EU Member State. These country profiles support and complement the assessment of progress towards climate and energy targets in Europe.

Related indicators

Total greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe Greenhouse gas emissions in the EU-28 increased by 0.5 % in 2015 compared with 2014, but levels remain 22 % below those of 1990. According to preliminary estimates for 2016, EU emissions decreased by 0.7 %, which is 23 % below 1990 levels. GHG emissions for the EU are expected to decrease further by 2020 to 26 % below 1990 levels as projected by the EU Member States, with the current measures that are already in place. This would surpass the reduction target of 20 %. Additional measures currently planned by Member States could further reduce emissions to 27 % below 1990 levels. For 2030 a reduction of EU GHG emissions of between 30 % and 32 % could be achieved by 2030, compared with 1990 levels according to Member States’ projections reported in 2017. These projected reductions fall short of the 40 % target for 2030, in the sectors under both the EU ETS and the ESD.

Final energy consumption by sector and fuel Between 2005 and 2014, final energy consumption decreased by 11 % (1.3 % annually) in the EU-28. Final energy consumption decreased in all sectors, particularly in the industry and households sectors (16.5 % and 14.8 %, respectively), but also in the transport (4.5 %) and services sectors (1.7 %). This decrease in final energy consumption since 2005 was influenced by economic performance, structural changes in various end-use sectors, particularly industry, improvements in end-use efficiency and lower than average heat consumption as a result of favorable climatic conditions, particularly in 2011 and 2014. In 2014, the EU-28 met its 2020 target for final energy consumption. Between 2005 and 2014, final energy consumption in some non-EU EEA countries, namely Turkey, Iceland and Norway, increased by 28 % (2.8 % per year). This difference was caused by an increase in energy consumption in Turkey (35 %) and Iceland (78 %), and a small decrease in energy consumption in Norway (1 %). Since 1990, the final energy consumption in these non-EU EEA countries has increased by 92 % (2.8 % annually). Final energy consumption in the EEA-33 countries decreased by 8.4 % (1 % annually) between 2005 and 2014. The largest contributors to this decrease were the industry and household sectors, both contributing 13.6 % to this decrease. On average, each person in the EEA-33 countries used 2.0 tonnes of oil equivalent to meet their energy needs in 2014.

Primary energy consumption by fuel In 2014, primary energy consumption in the EU-28 countries amounted to 1 507 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe), 1.6 % above the 2020 target. Between 2005 and 2014, primary energy consumption in the EU-28 countries decreased by 12 % due to energy efficiency improvements, the increase of the share of energy from hydro, wind and solar photovoltaics, the economic recession and climate warming. Based on EEA preliminary estimates, in 2015 EU-28 primary energy consumption was 1525 Mtoe. This represents a 1.2 % increase compared with 2014. Fossil fuels (including non-renewable waste) continued to dominate primary energy consumption in the EU-28, but as a proportion of total primary energy consumption, they fell from 77.8 % in 2005 to 71.6 % in 2014. The proportion of renewable energy sources almost doubled over the same period, from 7.1 % in 2005 to 13.4 % in 2014, increasing at an average annual rate of 5.8 % per year between 2005 and 2014. The proportion of nuclear energy in primary energy consumption was 15.0 % in 2014.

Related publications

Renewable energy in Europe 2017 — Recent growth and knock-on effects This report provides an overview of progress in renewable energy in Europe, based on official statistics until 2015 and preliminary estimates for 2016.

Trends and projections in the EU ETS in 2017 The EU Emissions Trading System in numbers

Approximated EU greenhouse gas inventory 2016 This briefing presents early ‘approximated’ (proxy) estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for 2016 in the European Union (EU), as reported by Member States in July 2017. Detailed results are available in the report, Approximated European Union greenhouse gas inventory: Proxy GHG emission estimates for 2016.

Analysis of key trends and drivers in greenhouse gas emissions in the EU between 1990 and 2015 The report analyses the major factors underpinning the trends in greenhouse gas emissions in Europe, both in the last year and over the period since 1990. The data is based on the EU’s 2017 submission to the UNFCCC of its greenhouse gas inventory.

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Older versions

01 Dec 2016 - Trends and projections in Europe 2016 - Tracking progress towards Europe's climate and energy targets

20 Oct 2015 - Trends and projections in Europe 2015 — Tracking progress towards Europe's climate and energy targets

28 Oct 2014 - Trends and projections in Europe 2014

09 Oct 2013 - Trends and projections in Europe 2013 – Tracking progress towards Europe's climate and energy targets until 2020

24 Oct 2012 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2012 - Tracking progress towards Kyoto and 2020 targets

07 Oct 2011 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2011 - Tracking progress towards Kyoto and 2020 targets

07 Oct 2011 - Greenhouse gas emissions in Europe: a retrospective trend analysis for the period 1990 - 2008

12 Oct 2010 - Tracking progress towards Kyoto and 2020 targets in Europe

12 Nov 2009 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2009

16 Oct 2008 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2008

27 Nov 2007 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2007

27 Oct 2006 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2006

01 Dec 2005 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections 2005

21 Dec 2004 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2004

21 Dec 2004 - Analysis of greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2004

25 Oct 2004 - Analysis of greenhouse gas emissions trends and projections in Europe 2003

04 Dec 2003 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe

01 Dec 2003 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe: Summary

01 Jul 2003 - Greenhouse gas emission - projections for Europe

09 Feb 2003 - Greenhouse gas emission trends in Europe, 1990-2000

05 Dec 2002 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe

05 Dec 2002 - Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe

Geographic coverage

Austria , Belgium , Bulgaria , Croatia , Cyprus , Czechia , Denmark , Estonia , Finland , France , Germany , Greece , Hungary , Iceland , Ireland , Italy , Latvia , Liechtenstein , Lithuania , Luxembourg , Malta , Netherlands , Norway , Poland , Portugal , Romania , Slovakia , Slovenia , Spain , Sweden , Switzerland , Turkey , United Kingdom

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