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Projections of extreme temperatures as represented by the combined number of hot summer (June-August) days (TMAX>35°C) and tropical nights (TMIN>20°C)

Figure Created 20 Apr 2012 Published 26 Jun 2012 Last modified 05 Feb 2018
1 min read
Maps show changes in extreme temperature for two future periods, relative to 1961-1990. Extreme temperatures are represented by the combined number of hot summer (June-August) days (TMAX>35°C) and tropical nights (TMIN>20°C). All projections are the average of 5 Regional Climate Model simulations of the EU-ENSEMBLES project using the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario for the periods 1961-90, 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 (Fischer and Schär, 2010).

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information.png Units:

Number of days

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Access is managed by the owner mentioned below. Please contact the owner for more information about their data policy.

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Met Office United Kingdom
ENSEMBLE FP6 project
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Met Office United Kingdom
European Environment Agency (EEA)
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Map

Additional information

Heat index: threshold of 40.7 ºC (105 ºF) as simulated by five ENSEMBLES RCM runs (MPI, KNMI, HC, ETH, C4I).

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Related figures

Figure Number of extreme heat waves in future climates under two different climate forcing scenarios The top maps show the median of the number of heat waves in a multi-model ensemble of the near future (2020–2052) and the latter half of the century (2068–2100) under the RCP4.5 scenario, and the lower maps are for the same time periods but under RCP8.5
Figure
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Number of extreme heat waves in future climates under two different climate forcing scenarios The top maps show the median of the number of heat waves in a multi-model ensemble of the near future (2020–2052) and the latter half of the century (2068–2100) under the RCP4.5 scenario, and the lower maps are for the same time periods but under RCP8.5
Figure Increase in the number of combined tropical nights (minimum temperature exceeding 20 °C) and hot days (maximum temperature exceeding 35 °C) under present and future climate conditions The map is the result of climatic modelling and represents the number of combined tropical nights (T>20°C) and hot days (T>35°C) for the period 2071 to 2100

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For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-average-number-of-summer-1 or scan the QR code.

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