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Observed annual mean temperature change from 1960 to 2019 (left panel) and projected change under different emissions scenarios (right panels) in Europe

Figure Created 25 Nov 2021 Last modified 11 Apr 2022
1 min read
Left panel: boxes outlined in black indicate areas with at least three stations, so are more likely to be representative; areas with significant long-term trends are indicated by black dots. Right panel: projected changes in near-surface air temperature by the period 2071-2100, compared with 1971-2000 for RCP4.5 (Representative Concentration Pathway) and 8.5 emissions scenarios; simulations are based on the multi-model ensemble average of simulations of the EURO-CORDEX initiative.

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information.png Units:

Left panel: °C per decade

Right panel: °C

information.png Rights:
This dataset falls under the EURO-CORDEX terms of use: http://is-enes-data.github.io/cordex_terms_of_use.pdf (CORDEX model output for non-commercial research
and educational purposes only).

As a data processed and disseminated by the EEA, it falls also under the EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (http://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: European Environment Agency (EEA). More information about EEA data policy: https://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/eea-data-policy.

The copyright statement should therefore acknowledge the data sources: EURO-CORDEX within the CORDEX Initiative, as well as the EEA Copyright Notice (https://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright) .
information.png Owners:
European Environment Agency (EEA)
information.png Figure type:
Map

Additional information

RCP: Representative Concentration Pathway

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Based on data

Related figures

Figure Observed annual mean temperature trend from 1960 to 2020 (left panel) and projected 21st century temperature change under different SSP scenarios (right panels) in Europe Left panel: Observed annual mean temperature change from 1960 to 2020 calculated from the E-OBS dataset. Right pannels: - Left map: Projected temperature change between the WMO reference period 1981–2010 and the end of the 21st century (period 2081–2100) under the scenario SSP1-2.6. - Right map: Projected temperature change between the WMO reference period 1981–2010 and the end of the 21st century (period 2081–2100) under the scenario SSP5-8.5.
Figure Trends in annual temperature across Europe between 1960 and 2018 Boxes outlined in solid black contain at least three stations and so are likely to be more representative of the grid. A significant (at the 5 % level) long-term trend is shown by a black dot. Stations available in the European Climate Assessment and Datasets (ECA&D) (with different lengths of records) for daily maximum and minimum temperature.
Figure Projected changes in annual, summer and winter temperature Projected changes in annual (left), summer (middle) and winter (right) near-surface air temperature (°C) in the period 2071-2100, compared with the baseline period 1971-2000 for the forcing scenarios RCP 4.5 (top) and RCP 8.5 (bottom). Model simulations are based on the multi-model ensemble average of RCM simulations from the EURO-CORDEX initiative.

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For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/trends-in-annual-temperature-across-2 or scan the QR code.

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