The probability of exceeding 2 °C global warming versus CO2 emitted from 2000–2049

Figure Created 12 Jan 2011 Published 12 Jan 2011 Last modified 29 Nov 2012

Topics: Climate change mitigation ,

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https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/the-probability-of-exceeding-2b0c/ccs113_fig3-5.eps/image_large

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Last upload:

29 Nov 2010

Temporal coverage:

2000-2049

Tags:

soer2010 , co2 , climate change , understanding climate change , thematic assessments

Geographic coverage:

Austria , Belgium , Bulgaria , Cyprus , Czech Republic , Denmark , Estonia , Finland , France , Germany , Greece , Hungary , Ireland , Italy , Latvia , Lithuania , Luxembourg , Malta , Netherlands , Poland , Portugal , Romania , Slovakia , Slovenia , Spain , Sweden , United Kingdom

Rights:

EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (http://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK).

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Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

Figure type:

Graph

Additional information

The figure is covering EU and the rest of the world, the projections: 2000-2050

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Understanding climate change — SOER 2010 thematic assessment Average global air and ocean temperatures are rising, leading to the melting of snow and ice and rising global mean sea level. Ocean acidification results from higher CO2 concentrations. With unabated greenhouse gas emissions, climate change could lead to an increasing risk of irreversible shifts in the climate system with potentially serious consequences. Temperature rises of more than 1.5–2 °C above pre-industrial levels are likely to cause major societal and environmental disruptions in many regions. The atmospheric CO2 concentration needs to be stabilised at 350–400 parts per million (ppm) in order to have a 50 % chance of limiting global mean temperature increase to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels (according to the IPCC in 2007, and confirmed by later scientific insights).

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