Figure

Projected spatial mismatches of the Portuguese Dappled White butterfly and its host plants

Figure Created 11 Oct 2012 Published 20 Nov 2012 Last modified 17 Nov 2017

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Topics: Biodiversity — Ecosystems Climate change adaptation

This figure shows spatial mismatches of the Portuguese Dappled White butterfly (Euchloe tagis) and its host plants under the BAMBU scenario (climate: A2) for 2050-2080. Green, suitable climate space for the host plants;orange, suitable climate space for the butterfly; red, suitable area for both butterfly and host plants; open circles, currently observed distribution. BAMBU: Business-As-Might-Be-Usual scenario.

https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-spatial-mismatches-of-the/biodiv10_ges.eps/image_large

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Methodology:

Ecological niche models (generalized linear models) for 36 European butterfly species and their larval host plants based on climate and land-use data were developed. The future distributional changes using three integrated global change scenarios for 2080 were projected. Observed and projected mismatches in potential butterfly niche space and the niche space of their hosts were first used to assess changing range limitations due to interacting species and then to investigate the importance of different ecological characteristics.

More information: Schweiger, O., Heikkinen, R. K., Harpke, A., Hickler, T., Klotz, S., Kudrna, O., Kühn, I., Pöyry, J. und Settele, J., 2012, 'Increasing range mismatching of interacting species under global change is related to their ecological characteristics', Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21(1), S.88–99

Rights:

EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (https://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: European Environment Agency (EEA).

Owners:

European Environment Agency (EEA)

Processors:

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ)

Figure type:

Map

Additional information

The time periods should be interpreted as: current (1961 - 1990) and 2080s (2051 - 2080)

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