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Projected impact of climate change on the potential distribution of reptiles and amphibians in 2050

Figure Created 12 Nov 2009 Published 12 Nov 2009 Last modified 26 Aug 2017
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This page was archived on 26 Aug 2017 with reason: A new version has been published
Projected data based on the Generalised Linear Model map using the HadCM3 A2 scenario for the 2050s are compared with the current situation.
https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-impact-of-climate-change-on-the-potential-distribution-of-reptiles-and-amphibians-in-2050/map-5-31-climate-change-2008-projected-impact-of-cc.eps/image_large

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information.png Methodology:

Bakkenes, M., 2007. Produced for the EEA by Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL), based on data of the ALARM project (http://www.alarmproject.net.ufz.de). Araújo, M. B.; Thuiller, W. and Pearson, R. G., 2006. Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography 33: 17121728

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Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL)
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External Data Spec ALARM (Assessing LArge Scale Risks for biodiversity with tested Methods) Sustainable development, global change and ecosystems
External Data Spec Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe We explore the relationship between current European distributions of amphibian and reptile species and observed climate, and project species potential distributions into the future. Potential impacts of climate warming are assessed by quantifying the magnitude and direction of modelled distributional shifts for every species. In particular we ask, first, what proportion of amphibian and reptile species are projected to lose and gain suitable climate space in the future? Secondly, do species projections vary according to taxonomic, spatial or environmental properties? And thirdly, what climate factors might be driving projections of loss or gain in suitable environments for species?

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For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-impact-of-climate-change-on-the-potential-distribution-of-reptiles-and-amphibians-in-2050 or scan the QR code.

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