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Past and projected global surface temperature change (relative to 1980–1999), based on multi‑model averages for selected IPCC scenarios

Figure Created 24 Feb 2011 Published 24 Feb 2011 Last modified 22 Dec 2016
1 min read
The figure shows the past and projected change in global surface temperatures. If global greenhouse gas emissions would not be reduced, the 2°C target will be exceeded towards the middle of the 21st century. The horizontal 2°C target line takes into account warming of about 0.6 °C from pre-industrial to 1990. “Likely” ranges in average 2090-2099 warming for all six IPCC scenarios are shown on the right

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information.png Rights:
EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (http://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
information.png Owners:
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
information.png Figure type:
Graph

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The geographical coverage for the figure relate to the world.

The bars on the right of the figure indicate the best estimate (solid line within each bar) and the likely range assessed for all six IPCC marker scenarios at 2090–2099 (relative to 1980–1999). The horizontal black line has been added by EEA to indicate the EU Council conclusion and UNFCCC Copenhagen Accord objective of 2 °C maximum temperature increase above pre-industrial (1.4 °C above 1990 because of about 0.6 °C temperature increase from the pre-industrial period to 1990).

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Used in publications

Publication Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2012 This European Environment Agency (EEA) report presents information on past and projected climate change and related impacts in Europe, based on a range of indicators. The report also assesses the vulnerability of society, human health and ecosystems in Europe and identifies those regions in Europe most at risk from climate change. Furthermore, the report discusses the principle sources of uncertainty for the indicators and notes how monitoring and scenario development can improve our understanding of climate change, its impacts and related vulnerabilities.
Publication The European environment – state and outlook 2010: Synthesis The SOER 2010 Synthesis provides an overview of the European environment's state, trends and prospects, integrating the main findings of SOER 2010.

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For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/past-and-projected-global-surface or scan the QR code.

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