Figure
Change factor of maximum drought in 571 European cities between 1951-2000 and 2051-2100
European data
Metadata
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Units:
Change factor
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Rights:
- EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (https://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: European Environment Agency (EEA).
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Owners:
- European Environment Agency (EEA)
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Figure type:
- Map
Additional information
The 12-month scale Drought Severity Index (DSI-12) was used. It is based on cumulative monthly precipitation anomalies, where the absolute deficit (in mm) is divided by the mean annual rainfall and multiplied by 100. DSI-12 is a rainfall index and therefore does not account for an increase in drought due to increasing temperatures (and subsequently potential evaporation). The map shows the ratio of the maximum DSI-12 in the future to the maximum DSI-12 in the historical period. Based on 50 climate model projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5; (Taylor et al., 2012), under the RCP8.5 climate scenario. Low impact scenario (left) refers to 10th percentile and high impact scenario (right) refers to 90th percentile of projections.
Source: Adapted from Guerreiro et al. (2018).
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Geographic coverage
Temporal coverage
For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/change-factor-of-maximum-drought or scan the QR code.
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