Figure

Additional number of days per year with high-to-extreme fire danger

Figure Created 03 Apr 2024 Published 01 Jul 2024 Last modified 01 Jul 2024

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Topics: Climate change adaptation

Additional number of days per year with high-to-extreme fire danger by weather (daily Fire Weather Index≥30), compared with the situation in the reference time period 1981-2010, for different levels of global warming. Median ensemble of five model-statistics (see recommended References).

https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/additional-number-of-days-per/fig13-6-261901-additional-number-v4.eps/image_large

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Units:: Number of days per year [days/year]
Rights:: EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (https://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: European Commission, European Environment Agency (EEA).

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/(see page 2 in https://doi.org/10.2760/46951)
Owners:: European Environment Agency (EEA)
Figure type:: Map

Additional information

Additional number of days per year with high-to-extreme fire danger by weather (daily Fire Weather Index≥30) for different levels of global warming compared to the reference time (1981-2010). Median ensemble of five model-statistics (see References, Tables 3-4 in [1], and Table 3 in [2], highlighted cells).The maps are reprojected in EPSG:3035 (ETRS89 LAEA) while the original data are under a rotated-pole projection, as specified in the standard EURO-CORDEX grid.

Reference time period: 1981-2010. Given the ensemble of models required for a robust analysis, no single time period can be associated to different levels of global warming. The maximum extent of time ranges in the underpinning asyncrhonous models, for each global-warming level (compared with the reference time period, see References):
+1.5°C: 2007-2044
+2.0°C: 2016-2059
+3.0°C: 2037-2082

References:

[1] de Rigo, D., Libertà, G., Houston Durrant, T., Artés Vivancos, T., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., 2017. Forest fire danger extremes in Europe under climate change: variability and uncertainty. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 71 pp. ISBN: 978-92-79-77046-3 , https://doi.org/10.2760/13180
[2] Costa, H., de Rigo, D., Libertà, G., Houston Durrant, T., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., 2020. European wildfire danger and vulnerability in a changing climate: towards integrating risk dimensions. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 59 pp. ISBN: 978-92-76-16898-0 , https://doi.org/10.2760/46951

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