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You are here: Home / Data and maps / Maps and graphs / Projected impact of climate change on the potential distribution of reptiles and amphibians in 2050

Projected impact of climate change on the potential distribution of reptiles and amphibians in 2050

Created : Nov 20, 2012 Published : Nov 20, 2012 Last modified : Nov 29, 2012 11:40 AM
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Projected data based on the Generalised Linear Model map using the HadCM3 A2 scenario for the 2050s are compared with the current situation.
http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-impact-of-climate-change-on-the-potential-distribution-of-reptiles-and-amphibians-in/map-5-31-climate-change-2008-projected-impact-of-cc.eps/image_original

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Last upload:
20 Nov 2012
Dynamic
Temporal coverage:
2008, 2050
Tags:
climate change | reptile | amphibian | species | animal
Methodology:

Bakkenes, M., 2007. Produced for the EEA by Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL), based on data of the ALARM project (http://www.alarmproject.net.ufz.de). Araújo, M. B.; Thuiller, W. and Pearson, R. G., 2006. Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography 33: 17121728

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Access is managed by the owner mentioned below. Please contact the owner for more information about their data policy.
Owners:
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL)
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ALARM (Assessing LArge Scale Risks for biodiversity with tested Methods)) ALARM (Assessing LArge Scale Risks for biodiversity with tested Methods)) Sustainable development, global change and ecosystems
Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe We explore the relationship between current European distributions of amphibian and reptile species and observed climate, and project species potential distributions into the future. Potential impacts of climate warming are assessed by quantifying the magnitude and direction of modelled distributional shifts for every species. In particular we ask, first, what proportion of amphibian and reptile species are projected to lose and gain suitable climate space in the future? Secondly, do species projections vary according to taxonomic, spatial or environmental properties? And thirdly, what climate factors might be driving projections of loss or gain in suitable environments for species?

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