SOER 2010 — assessment of global megatrends

Published by

• EEA (European Environment Agency)
• Published: Nov 28, 2010

Content

• Global megatrends NEW.pdf [8.0 MB]

• Increasing global divergence in population trends — global megatrend 1 [512.3 kB]
• Living in an urban world — global megatrend 2 [419.8 kB]
• Disease burdens and the risk of new pandemics — global megatrend 3 [927.3 kB]
• Accelerating technological change: racing into the unknown — global megatrend 4 [345.2 kB]
• Continued economic growth? — global megatrend 5 [271.9 kB]
• From a unipolar to a multipolar world — global megatrend 6 [354.0 kB]
• Intensified global competition for resources — global megatrend 7 [803.8 kB]
• Decreasing stocks of natural resources — global megatrend 8 [682.3 kB]
• Increasingly severe consequences of climate change — global megatrend 9 [2.3 MB]
• Increasing environmental pollution load — global megatrend 10 [3.0 MB]
• Environmental regulation and governance: increasing fragmentation and convergence — global megatrend 11 [299.8 kB]
• Links between global megatrends and Europe's environmental challenges [648.6 kB]
• Responding to global megatrends [138.1 kB]
• Global megatrends: list of abbreviations and references [234.5 kB]

Maps and graphs

Fancybox relations

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The nitrogen cycle Global scheme of nitrogen cycle, showing major nitrogen reservoirs (atmosphere, soil and living organisms), major processes (nitrification, denitrification, nitrogen fixation, assimilation etc.) and actors (plants, animals, bacteria, human beings).

Registered inventions The bar sizes show, for each country, the number of applicants to register inventions, counted as patent families. A patent family is a set of inter-related applications on the same subject. Statistics based on patent families eliminate double counts (i.e. when the same invention is registered in different patent offices).

Price of fossil fuels and metals Fuel price index and metals price index evolution from 1980 to 2010

Projected impacts of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems The maps show projected impacts of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems: forest cover gain, shrub/woodland cover gain, herbaceous cover gain, desert amelioration, grass/tree cover loss, forest/woodland decline, forest type change, according to 2 climate scenarios (SRES B1 and SRES A2).

Growing relevance of non-state actors This bar graphic shows the number of NGOs enjoying advisory status with the UN Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) from 40 countries in 1948 to 3187 countries in 2008.

Movements of people: migration and tourism The map shows 'moving to work and escape poverty': Migration between and inside world regions from 1995 to 2004. Colors show regional migratory balance (surplus or deficit), arrows show major movements between and inside regions. The graph shows 'travelling for leisure': trends in number of tourists since 1950 and projections to 2020.

Projected ocean acidification by 2100 The maps show projected ocean acidification and related impacts on corals by 2020, 2060 and 2100: from better (blue) to worse (orange) conditions for coral skeletal growth.

World population projections - Regional shares of world population Historical population trends and projections by world region

Population pyramids for 2000 and 2050. Population by age, sex and educational attainment Comparison between the year 2000 and projected 2050 population by age, sex and educational attainment for Africa and the European Union

Slowdown of urban growth Historical trends and projections by world regions (1950- 2050) of urban growth rate showing a clear slowdown for all regions

Environmental factors and conflicts possibly causing migration Colors show Human development Index ranking. Symbols locate possible causes of displacements: environmental upheavals related to climate change and major conflicts since 2000.

Malaria in 2050 The map shows the current distribution of falciparum malaria (in yellow), areas where it is projected to appear (in red) and disappear (in green) by 2050.

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