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Simulated land average maximum 5-day total precipitation for different European regions (1860-2100)
The 20th century (black), models simulations for IPCC SRES intermediate A1B (orange) and low B1 (green) emission scenarios
Percentage of Europe experiencing moderate drought conditions during the 20th century
Expressed as standardized precipitation indices (SPI) for time scales of 12 months
Changes in the contribution of heavy rainfall to total precipitation 1961-2006
The map shows changes in the contribution of heavy rainfall to total precipitation
Modelled precipitation change between 1980-1999 and 2080-2099
Left: annual; middle: winter (DJF); right summer (JJA) changes % for the IPCC-SRES A1B emission scenario averaged over 21 models (MMD-A1B simulations).