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You are here: Home / Data and maps / Indicators / Total electricity consumption - outlook from EEA / Total electricity consumption - outlook from EEA (Outlook 051) - Assessment published Jun 2006

Total electricity consumption - outlook from EEA (Outlook 051) - Assessment published Jun 2006

This content has been archived on 12 Nov 2013, reason: Content not regularly updated
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Generic metadata

Topics:

Environmental scenarios Environmental scenarios (Primary topic)

Energy Energy

Tags:
electricity | energy | forward looking indicators
DPSIR: Pressure
Typology: Performance indicator (Type B - Does it matter?)
Indicator codes
  • Outlook 051
 
Contents
 

Key policy question: Are we consuming less electricity?

Key messages

Assessment of 2007

Final electricity demand is expected to decouple relatively from GDP, particularly in the New-10. However, reliance on electricity as the main energy carrier, particularly for services and the domestic sector, is expected to continue to grow at an average rate of 1.7 % per year between 2000 and 2030; electricity demand is therefore expected to increase by 50 % over this period.

Total energy consumption and final electricity demand vs. GDP growth 1990-2030

Note: N/A

Data source:

EEA European Topic Centre on Air and Climate Change: National Technical University of Athens (NTUA), 2003-2004.

Downloads and more info

Key assessment

Changes in primary energy production patterns (especially in many new Member States), characterised by the closure of unprofitable coalmines that took place in the 1990s and which is expected to continue to some extent over the next few decades.

While energy consumption increases at a rather low pace through 2030, there is a steep decline in indigenous production, in particular of hydrocarbons, solid fuels and nuclear. Only renewables production is expected to increase In 2030, current baseline projections have oil production declining by 73%, gas production would be 59% lower and solid fuel production is expected to sink by 41%. Nuclear generation might decrease by 11%, whereas the production of renewables should more than double between 2000 and 2030. All together, total indigenous energy production in 2030 would be 25% lower than it was in 2000.

Final electricity demand is expected to decouple relatively from GDP, particularly in the New-10. However, reliance on electricity as the main energy carrier, particularly for services and the domestic sector, is expected to continue to grow at an average rate of 1.7 % per year between 2000 and 2030; electricity demand is therefore expected to increase by 50 % over this period.

Assessment is based on the report "European Energy and Transport: Trends to 2030" (update 2005) (some trends are recalculated a bit)

Link: http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/energy_transport/figures/trends_2030_update_2005/energy_transport_trends_2030_update_2005_en.pdf

Data sources

More information about this indicator

See this indicator specification for more details.

Contacts and ownership

EEA Contact Info

Anita Pirc Velkavrh

Ownership

EEA Management Plan

2010 (note: EEA internal system)

Dates

Document Actions
European Environment Agency (EEA)
Kongens Nytorv 6
1050 Copenhagen K
Denmark
Phone: +45 3336 7100