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Passenger transport demand - outlook from EEA (Outlook 054) - Assessment published Jun 2006

Indicator Assessmentexpired Created 08 Jan 2006 Published 08 Jun 2006 Last modified 11 Mar 2014, 01:48 PM
This content has been archived on 12 Nov 2013, reason: Content not regularly updated
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Generic metadata


Environmental scenarios Environmental scenarios (Primary topic)

Transport Transport

forward looking indicators | transport
DPSIR: Pressure
Typology: Performance indicator (Type B - Does it matter?)
Indicator codes
  • Outlook 054
Geographic coverage:
Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom

Key policy question: Is there a trend of decoupling of passenger transport demand from economic growth?

Key messages

Assessment is created in 2007

Passenger transport demand is expected to decouple relatively from economic growth over the next 30 years, in line with the policy targets.

Passenger transport activity growth for EU 25

Note: N/A

Downloads and more info

Key assessment

Specific policy question: Is the share of passanger car transport in total inland transport being reduced relative to other transport modes?

Structure of the passenger transport activity in the EU 15 and accessing countries

Note: N/A

Downloads and more info

Specific assessment

With regard to the modal split of transport, no major technological substitution is expected over the 2000-2030 horizon. The main development in passenger transport is in air travel, whose share of the total is expected to increase from 5.5% to 10.5%, while decreasing shares are expected for public road transport (from 9% to 6.5%) and to a limited extent private cars and motorcycles (from 78% to 76%).

Data sources

More information about this indicator

See this indicator specification for more details.

Contacts and ownership

EEA Contact Info

Anita Pirc Velkavrh


EEA Management Plan

2010 (note: EEA internal system)



European Environment Agency (EEA)
Kongens Nytorv 6
1050 Copenhagen K
Phone: +45 3336 7100