Passenger transport demand - outlook from EEA (Outlook 054) - Assessment published Jun 2006
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Environmental scenarios (Primary topic)
Typology: Performance indicator (Type B - Does it matter?)
- Outlook 054
Key policy question: Is there a trend of decoupling of passenger transport demand from economic growth?
Assessment is created in 2007
Passenger transport demand is expected to decouple relatively from economic growth over the next 30 years, in line with the policy targets.
Specific policy question: Is the share of passanger car transport in total inland transport being reduced relative to other transport modes?
With regard to the modal split of transport, no major technological substitution is expected over the 2000-2030 horizon. The main development in passenger transport is in air travel, whose share of the total is expected to increase from 5.5% to 10.5%, while decreasing shares are expected for public road transport (from 9% to 6.5%) and to a limited extent private cars and motorcycles (from 78% to 76%).
Input data to PRIMES - macro-economic data: demographics, antional accounts, sectoral activity and income variables - output from EUROSTAT data
Input data to PRIMES model - structure of energy consumtpion and structure of activity variables - output from EUROSTAT data
Output data from PRIMES - Passenger transport activity - output from PRIMES model
provided by Directorate-General for Energy and Transport
More information about this indicator
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