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You are here: Home / Data and maps / Indicators / GDP - outlook from OECD / GDP - outlook from OECD (Outlook 041) - Assessment published Jun 2007

GDP - outlook from OECD (Outlook 041) - Assessment published Jun 2007

Generic metadata

Topics:

Environmental scenarios Environmental scenarios (Primary topic)

Tags:
gdp | forward looking indicators | belgrade | socio-economy
DPSIR: Driving force
Typology: Descriptive indicator (Type A - What is happening to the environment and to humans?)
Indicator codes
  • Outlook 041
Dynamic
Temporal coverage:
2005-2030
Geographic coverage:
Albania Armenia Austria Azerbaijan Belarus Belgium Bosnia and Herzegovina Bulgaria Canada China Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Georgia Germany Greece Hungary Iceland India Ireland Italy Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Latvia Liechtenstein Lithuania Luxembourg Macedonia (FYR) Malta Moldova Montenegro Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Romania Russia Serbia Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Tajikistan Turkey Turkmenistan Ukraine United Kingdom United States Uzbekistan
 
Contents
 

Key policy question: What are GDP trends in the pan-European region?

Key messages

In a no new policies scenario*, GDP is projected to continue to grow in absolute and per-capita terms in the whole pan-European region, more rapidly in the eastern parts, such as EECCA and SEE. Globally WEU, USA and Canada are projected to continue to have the highest GDP per capita. WEU will approach the levels of USA and Canada. However, the fastest-growing economies are expected to be China, India and EECCA. (Assessment is created in 2007)

 

*Projections are based on the baseline OECD scenario. The baseline is a no new policies scenario by design, without anticipating deliberate interventions requiring new or intensified policies in response to the projected developments. Population indicators were adopted from the most recently published UN

GDP projections, 2005 to 2030

Note: GDP=Gross Domestic Product

Data source:

Based on OECD Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2007b. OECD Environment Outlook (Analysis of environmental pressures and impacts of the baseline for the second OECD Environmental Outlook as developed by the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2006).

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Projected percentage change in GDP per capita from 2005 to 2030

Note: International comparisons

Data source:

GDP: OECD Outlook (Analysis of environmental pressures and impacts of the baseline for the second OECD Environment Outlook). Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (2006).

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Key assessment

  • GDP per capita is projected to increase globally, however at a quicker pace in EECCA, China, India and CEU. Although GPD per capita in WEU grows much more slowly (by 64 %) than in CEU (141 %) and EECCA (182 %), absolute values of GDP per capita in WEU in 2030 remains more than twice those in other European countries. The US is expected to have the highest GDP per capita in 2030, followed by Canada and WEU. China continues to be among the most impressively developing economies, with the highest increase in GDP per capita from 2000 to 2030 (more than 200 %). India stays below the world average, though with a large increase (169 %) from 2005 to 2030.
*Projections are based on the baseline OECD scenario. The baseline is a no new policies scenario by design, without anticipating deliberate interventions requiring new or intensified policies in response to the projected developments. Population indicators were adopted from the most recently published UN demographic projection, and economic developments were taken from the economic baseline elaborated with the ENV Linkages model of the OECD

Data sources

More information about this indicator

See this indicator specification for more details.

Contacts and ownership

EEA Contact Info

Tobias Dominik Lung

Ownership

EEA Management Plan

2010 (note: EEA internal system)

Dates

Frequency of updates

Updates are scheduled once per year in October-December (Q4)
European Environment Agency (EEA)
Kongens Nytorv 6
1050 Copenhagen K
Denmark
Phone: +45 3336 7100