Freight transport demand - outlook from EEA (Outlook 055) - Assessment published Jun 2006
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Environmental scenarios (Primary topic)
Typology: Performance indicator (Type B - Does it matter?)
- Outlook 055
Key policy question: Is freight transport demand being decoupled from economic growth?
Assessment is created in 2007
Freight transport demand is expected to decouple relatively from economic growth over the next 30 years, in line with the policy targets.
Specific policy question: Is the share of goods transported by road being reduced relative to other transport modes?
With regard to the modal split of transport, no major technological substitution is expected over the 2000-2030 horizon. For freight transport, trucks are expected to further enhance their predominance (from 69% to 77.5% over the 2000-2030 period) at the expense of rail (from 17% to 11%) and inland navigation (from 14% to 11.5%).
The assessment is based on the European Environmental Outlook N 4/2005
Input data to PRIMES - macro-economic data: demographics, antional accounts, sectoral activity and income variables - output from EUROSTAT data
Input data to PRIMES model - structure of energy consumtpion and structure of activity variables - output from EUROSTAT data
Output data from PRIMES - Freight transport activity - output from PRIMES model
provided by Directorate-General for Energy and Transport
More information about this indicator
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