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You are here: Home / Data and maps / Indicators / Forest fire danger

Forest fire danger

Note: new version is available!
Topics: ,

Update planned for November 2012

Contents
 

Assessment versions

Published (reviewed and quality assured)

Justification for indicator selection

Wildfires are a serious threat to forests and ecosystems in Europe and climate is the most important driving force affecting fire potential changes over time (Flannigan et al., 2000). Although it is generally recognised that the occurrence of forest fires in Europe is due mainly to causes of an anthropogenic nature, the total burned area changes significantly from year to year largely because of weather conditions. Changes in fire regimes may have strong impacts on natural resources and ecosystem stability, with consequent direct and indirect economic losses. On other hand active forest and fire management practices can counteract the impacts of a changing climate to some extent.

Scientific references:

  • References Camia, A.; Amatulli G.; San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., 2008. Past and future trends of forest fire danger in Europe. EUR Technical Report (EUR 23124). Cannell, M. G. R.; Thornley, J. H. M.; Mobbs, D. C. and Friend, A. D., 1998. UK conifer forests may be growing faster in response to increased N deposition, atmospheric CO2 and temperature. Forestry 71: 277-296. Flannigan, M. D.; Amiro, B. D.; Logan, K. A.; Stocks, B. J. and Wotton, B. M., 2005. Forest Fires and Climate Change in the 21st Century. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. Springer 11: 847-859. Flannigan, M. D.; Stocks, B. J.; Wotton, B. M., 2000. Climate Change and Forest Fires. The Science of the Total Environment 262 (3): 221-229. San Miguel-Ayanz, J.; Carlson, J. D.; Alexander, M.; Tolhurst, K.; Morgan, G.; Sneeuwjagt, R. and Dudley, M., 2003. Current Methods to Assess Fire Danger Potential. In: Wildland Fire Danger Estimation and Mapping. The Role of Remote Sensing Data (E. Chuvieco, Ed.) World Scientific Publishing. Singapore, pp. 21-61. Van Wagner, C. E., 1987. Development and structure of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System. Canadian Forestry Service, Ottawa, Ontario. Forestry Technical Report 35. 37 pp.

Indicator definition

  • Average annual changes in fire danger level 1958-2006
  • Modelled three-monthly fire danger levels in Europe for 1961-1990 and 2071-2100 and change between these periods

Units

http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/eea_report_2008_4/pp111-148CC2008_ch5-7to9_Terrestrial_ecosystems_soil_and_agriculture.pdf

Policy context and targets

Context description

No context has been specified

Targets

No targets have been specified

Related policy documents

No related policy documents have been specified

Key policy question

.

Data specifications

EEA data references

  • No datasets have been specified here.

External data references

Data sources in latest figures

Uncertainties

Methodology uncertainty

http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/eea_report_2008_4/pp193-207CC2008_ch8_Data_gaps.pdf

Data sets uncertainty

http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/eea_report_2008_4/pp193-207CC2008_ch8_Data_gaps.pdf

Rationale uncertainty

No uncertainty has been specified

Further work

Short term work

Work specified here requires to be completed within 1 year from now.

Long term work

Work specified here will require more than 1 year (from now) to be completed.

General metadata

Responsibility and ownership

EEA Contact Info

Hans-Martin Füssel

Ownership

Joint Research Centre (JRC)
European Environment Agency (EEA)

Identification

Indicator code
CLIM 035
Specification
Version id: 1
Primary theme: Climate change Climate change

Permalinks

Permalink to this version
528734be1c9cbdd9fe659ceb7e3395df
Permalink to latest version
QSEF4IS252

Classification

DPSIR: Impact
Typology: Descriptive indicator (Type A - What is happening to the environment and to humans?)

Geographical coverage

[+] Show Map

Document Actions

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