Final energy consumption - outlook from EEA
Published (reviewed and quality assured)
Justification for indicator selection
The energy sector is prime contributor to environmental concerns such as climate change, air pollution and water stress.
Data on final energy consumption help estimating the environmental impacts of energy use. The type and extent of energy-related pressures on the environment depends both on the sources of energy (and how they are used) and on the total amount of energy consumed. One way of reducing energy-related pressures on the environment is thus to use less energy. This may result from reducing the energy consumption for energy-related activities (e.g. for warmth, personal mobility or freight transport), or by using energy in a more efficient way (thereby using less energy per unit of demand), or from a combination of the two.
The trends in final energy consumption by sector provide a broad indication of progress made in reducing energy consumption and associated environmental impacts. The outlook presents plausible future of energy developments in pan-European region. It helps to assess achievability of policy targets related to energy consumption and energy efficiency. It can also be used to identify appropriate policy response options for making energy sector more sustainable, combat climate change and reduce water stress and air pollution.
Definition: Final energy consumption covers all energy supplied to the final consumer for all energy uses. It is usually disaggregated into the final end-use sectors: industry, transport, households, services and agriculture.
Model used: PRIMES
Ownership: European Environment Agency
Temporal coverage: 1990 - 2030
Geographical coverage: EU 15 : Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom; EU 12 : Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia.
Final energy consumption is measured in tonnes of oil equivalent (toe).
Policy context and targets
The indicator shows the trends in total final energy consumption and the contributions of each end-use sector and each energy type. It can be useful to monitor perfomances of the wide range of policies at pan-european and national level that attempt to influence energy consumption and energy efficiency, and, therefore, extent of environmental impacts.
Global policy context
The major documents that relate to trends of the energy consumption at the global level were developed and presented during the World Summit on Sustainable Development in Johannesburg (WSSD,2002) in Agenda 21. WSSD, 2002 aims to achieve a sustainable energy future, including diversified energy sources using cleaner technologies. Moreover, there is a number of sub-negotiations and declarations concerning more sustainable ratio in balance between a global energy supply and consumption of different energy types.
The recent pan-european policies concerning different aspects of energy consumption and efficiency have been developed under different intenational fora.
The Committee on Sustainable Energy seeks to reform energy prices and subsidies and ways how to carry out it to meet more sustainable energy production and consumption in the region (UNECE Guidelines).
Kiev Declaration "Environment for Europe"(2003) aims at supporting further efforts to promote energy efficiency and renewable energy to meet environmental objectives.
EU policy context
On 23 January 2008 the European Commission adopted the 'Climate Action and Renewable Energy' package. The Package sets a number of targets for EU member states with the ambition to achieve the goal of limiting the rise in global average temperature to 2 degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial times including: GHG reduction of 20% compared to 1990 by 2020. (under a satisfactory global climate agreement this could be scaled up to a 30% reduction); 20% reduction in energy consumption through improved energy efficiency, an increase in renewable energy's share to 20% and a 10% share for sustainably produced biofuels and other renewable fuels in transport. With these goals in mind, each Member State will by June 30th 2010 submit a National Renewable Energy Action Plan to the Commission.
EECCA policy context
The main policy illustrating regional objectives of EECCA countries is EECCA Environmental Strategy. One of the main goals is "to contribute to improving environmental conditions and to implement the WSSD Implementation Plan in EECCA countries" regarding energy issues as well as Kiev Declaration's energy performance tasks.
Structural goals and targets
- Implement energy strategies for Sustainable Development, including diversified energy sources using cleaner technologies ( )
- Increase the share of renewable sources...to meet environmental objectives ( )
- Greater energy recovery from waste (2006 EC Thematic Strategy on Waste)
- By 2010: 22.1% of electricity and 12% of all energy from renewables ( and )
- 20% replacment of vehicle fuels with alternative fuels by 2020 (A European partnership for the sustainable hydrogen economy)
- Diversifying energy supplies, including via new infrastructure (e. g. pipelines) ( )
- replace 20% oil with substitute fuels by 2020 (EU)
- Trans-European Energy networks, also beyond EU ( )
- energy infrastructure improvements for sustainability by 2025 ( )
Efficiency goals and targets
- to improve energy efficiency ( )
- 20% savings vis-a-vis business-as-usual 2020 levels ( )
- "Reduce energy demand", including via labelling for buildings and appliance (EU Sustainable Dev. Strategy, 2001)
- Repair, modernise and/or decommission obsolete or accident-prone equipment at hydropower facilities (Cooperation Strategy to promote Rational and Efficient Use of Energy Resources in Central Asia )
- Introduce energy-conservation technologies ( )
Link to other policy goals and targets
- Reforming energy prices and subsidies ( )
- Balancing sustainable development, competitiveness, security of supply ( )
- Research for energy efficiency, carbon capture, clean coal ( )
- Greater support for R&D for: clean and renewable energy; safe nuclear energy, including waste management (EU Sustainable Dev. Strategy, 2001)
- Major infrastructure investment in transport, energy and environment (2006 re-launched Lisbon strategy)
- An international agreement on energy efficiency ( )
- Tradable EU-wide energy efficiency certificates ("white certificates") ( )
- Stimulate investment in efficiency ( )
- Improve integration of energy efficiency and environment into energy policies ( )
- Remove adverse energy subsidies ( )
- Support regional cooperation for energy trade ( )
- Incorporate energy efficiency into climate change policies ( )
Related policy documents
Sixth Environment Action Programme
DECISION No 1600/2002/EC OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL of 22 July 2002 laying down the Sixth Community Environment Action Programme
UN Framework Convention on Climate Change
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
World Summit on Sustainable Development Plan of Implementation
UN 2002: 'Plan of Implementation of the World Summit on Sustainable Development'
Key policy question
Are we using less final energy?
Methodology for indicator calculation
The indicator of the Final energy consumption is produced using the PRIMES model. The model covers the horizon from 1990 to 2030 with 5 years periods. A fundamental assumption in PRIMES is that producers and consumers both respond to changes in prices.
Overview of the PRIMES Model
PRIMES is a partial equilibrium model for the European Union energy system developed by, and maintained at, The National Technical University of Athens, E3M-Laboratory. The most recent version of the model used in the calculations covers each of the EU Member States, EU candidate countries and Neighbouring countries, uses Eurostat as the main data source, and is updated with 2000 as the base year. The PRIMES model is the result of collaborative research under a series of projects supported by the Joule programme of the Directorate General for Research of the European Commission.
The model determines the equilibrium by finding the prices of each energy form such that the quantity producers find best to supply match the quantity consumers wish to use. The equilibrium is static (within each time period) but repeated in a time-forward path, under dynamic relationships. The model is behavioural but also represents in an explicit and detailed way the available energy demand and supply technologies and pollution abatement technologies. It reflects considerations about market economics, industry structure, energy/environmental policies and regulation. These are conceived so as to influence the market behaviour of energy system agents. The modular structure of PRIMES reflects a distribution of decision-making among agents that decide individually about their supply, demand, combined supply and demand, and prices. Then the market-integrating part of PRIMES simulates market clearing. PRIMES is a general purpose model. It conceived for forecasting, scenario construction and policy impact analysis. It covers a medium to long-term horizon. It is modular and allows either for a unified model use or for partial use of modules to support specific energy studies.
For more information see: here.
Methodology for gap filling
No methodology for gap filling has been specified. Probably this info has been added together with indicator calculation.
EEA data references
- No datasets have been specified here.
External data references
- Input data to PRIMES - macro-economic data: demographics, antional accounts, sectoral activity and income variables - output from EUROSTAT data
- Input data to PRIMES model - structure of energy consumtpion and structure of activity variables - output from EUROSTAT data
- Output data from PRIMES - Final energy demand by fuel and sector - output from PRIMES model
Data sources in latest figures
No uncertainty has been specified
Data sets uncertainty
No uncertainty has been specified
Short term work
Work specified here requires to be completed within 1 year from now.
Long term work
Work specified here will require more than 1 year (from now) to be completed.
Responsibility and ownership
EEA Contact InfoAnita Pirc Velkavrh
ClassificationDPSIR: Driving force