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You are here: Home / Data and maps / Maps and graphs / Projected changes in the climate niche space of the Small Tortoise shell

Projected changes in the climate niche space of the Small Tortoise shell

Created : Oct 11, 2012 Published : Oct 11, 2012 Last modified : Nov 29, 2012 02:53 PM
This figure shows the future distribution of climate niche space of the Small Tortoise shell (Aglais urticae) under the A2 climate change scenario and two future time periods (2021-2050 left, 2051-2080 right). Dark grey areas show space that remains suitable, magenta areas space that is lost and green areas show space that could be gained under full dispersal. Northern parts of Europe are expected to remain suitable for the Small Tortoiseshell under all scenarios, but large areas of central Europe would become unsuitable. The worst case loss is 55% of its climatic niche by 2080 under no dispersal or 46% loss under full dispersal.
http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-changes-in-the-climate/biodiv09_ges.eps/image_original

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Last upload:
26 Sep 2012
Dynamic
Temporal coverage:
1961-1990, 2021-2080
Tags:
Climate Change | niche space | Biodiversity | shell
Methodology:

Settele, J., Kudrna, O., Harpke, A., Kühn, I., Van Swaay, C., Verovnik, R., Warren, M. S., Wiemers, M., Hanspach, J., Hickler, T. und others, 2008, Climatic risk atlas of European butterflies, Pensoft Moscow.

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EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (http://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: European Environment Agency (EEA).
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European Environment Agency (EEA)
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Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ)
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Additional information

The time periods should be interpreted as: current (1961 - 1990), 2050 (2021 - 2050), 2080 (2051 - 2080)

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Climatic Risk Atlas of European Butterflies Climatic Risk Atlas of European Butterflies The overarching aim of the atlas is to communicate the potential risks of climatic change to the future of European butterflies. The main objectives are to: (1) provide a visual aid to discussions on climate change risks and impacts on biodiversity and thus contribute to risk communication as a core element of risk assessment; (2) present crucial data on a large group of species which could help to prioritise conservation efforts in the face of climatic change; (3) reach a broader audience through the combination of new scientific results with photographs of all treated species and some straight forward information about the species and their ecology. The results of this atlas show that climate change is likely to have a profound effect on European butterflies. Ways to mitigate some of the negative impacts are to (1) maintain large populations in diverse habitats; (2) encourage mobility across the landscape; (3) reduce emissions of greenhouse gasses; (4) allow maximum time for species adaptation; (4) conduct further research on climate change and its impacts on biodiversity. The book is a result of long-term research of a large international team of scientists, working at research institutes and non-governmental organizations, many within the framework of projects funded by the European Commission.

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