This figure shows the model estimated mean change in dates of flowering and full maturation for winter wheat for the period 2031–2050 compared with 1975–1994 for the RACMO (KNMI) and HadRCM3 (Hadley Centre.HC) projections under the A1B emission scenario.
The model was run using 50 years of daily weather data generated by the LARS weather generator for the baseline period (1975-1994) and for the scenario period (2031-2050). For the scenario period climate model projections were extracted from the ENSEMBLES database, where two model projections were used, both using the A1B emission scenario. The climate model projections were MPI/KNMI (RACMO2) and METOHC/METOHC (HadRM3Q0).
Olesen, J.E., Børgensen, C. D., Elsgaard, L., Palosuo, T., Rötter, R., Skjelvåg, A. O., Peltonen-Sainio, P., Börjesson, T., Trnka, M., Ewert, F., Siebert, S., Brisson, N., Eitzinger, J., van der Fels-Klerx, H. J. and van Asselt, E., 2012, 'Changes in flowering and maturity time of cereals in Northern Europe under climate change', Food Additives and Contaminants: Part A 29(10), 1 527–1 542. doi:10.1080/19440049.2012.712060.
EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (http://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: European Environment Agency (EEA).
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