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Projections of extreme temperatures as represented by the combined number of hot summer (June-August) days (TMAX>35°C) and tropical nights (TMIN>20°C)

Figure Created 20 Apr 2012 Published 26 Jun 2012 Last modified 11 Oct 2013, 11:24 AM
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Maps show changes in extreme temperature for two future periods, relative to 1961-1990. Extreme temperatures are represented by the combined number of hot summer (June-August) days (TMAX>35°C) and tropical nights (TMIN>20°C). All projections are the average of 5 Regional Climate Model simulations of the EU-ENSEMBLES project using the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario for the periods 1961-90, 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 (Fischer and Schär, 2010).

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Heat index: threshold of 40.7 ºC (105 ºF) as simulated by five ENSEMBLES RCM runs (MPI, KNMI, HC, ETH, C4I).

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