The figure shows the probability of complete loss of northern Fennoscandian areas suitable for palsas during the 21st century estimated using a probabilistic projection of climate change for the SRES A1B scenario
A bioclimatic envelope model of the Fennoscandian palsa mire distribution was used with a probabilistic projection of climate change for the 21st century.
Source: Fronzek, S., T.R. Carter, J. Räisänen, L. Ruokolainen and M. Luoto (2010). Applying probabilistic projections of climate change with impact models: a case study for sub-arctic palsa mires in Fennoscandia. Climatic Change 99(3), 515-534, doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9679-y
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