Potential aggregate impact, adaptive capacity and vulnerability

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Created : Nov 14, 2012 Published : Nov 20, 2012 Last modified : Nov 30, 2012 11:11 AM

Topics: Climate change ,

Overall impacts derived from 26 impact indicators, overall adaptive capacity from 15 individual indicators, and overall vulnerability from a combination of overall impacts and adaptive capacity.

http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/potential-aggregate-impact-adaptive-capacity/map5.5_ia03_espon_v2.eps/image_original

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Last upload:

14 Nov 2012

Dynamic

Temporal coverage:

1960-2098

Tags:

climate change | aggregate impact | adaptive capacity | storm surge | vulnerabilities

Geographical coverage:

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Greece Poland Romania Portugal Spain United Kingdom Netherlands Belgium Germany France Czechia Italy Cyprus Estonia Latvia Lithuania Finland Hungary Bulgaria Malta Denmark Sweden Austria Luxembourg Ireland Slovakia Slovenia

Methodology:

(Vulnerability) Combination of potential impacts and regional capacity to adapt to climate change. The potential impacts were calculated as a combination of regional exposure to climate change (difference between 1961-1990 and 2071-2100 climate projections of eight climatic variables of the CCLM model as well as inundation height changes according to the LISFLOOD river flooding model, both for the IPCC SRES A1B scenario, and projections of the DIVA model regarding coastal storm surge heights of a 100 year return event adjusted by one metre of sea level ise) and most recent data on the weighted dimensions of physical, economic, social, environmental and cultural sensitivity to climate change. Adaptive capacity was calculated as a weighted combination of most recent data on economic, infrastructural, technological and institutional capacity as well as knowledge and awareness of climate change.

(Aggregated) Weighted combination of physical (weight 0.19), environmental (0.31), social (0.16), economic (0.24) and cultural (0.1) potential impacts of climate change. Weights are based on a Delphi survey of the ESPON Monitoring Committee. Impacts calculated as combination of regional exposure to climatic changes and recent data on regional sensitivity. Climatic changes derived from comparison of 1961-1990 and 2071-2100 climate projections from CCLM model for the IPCC SRES A1B scenario. Regional coastal storm surge heights were calculated on the basis of a one metre sea level rise.

Units:

Normalised (unitless)

Rights:

EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (http://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: Technische Universität Dortmund, Institute of Spatial Planning (IRPUD).

Owners:

Technische Universität Dortmund, Institute of Spatial Planning (IRPUD)

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Figure type:

Map

Additional information

Overall impacts derived from 26 impact indicators, overall adaptive capacity from 15 individual indicators and overall vulnerability from a combination of overall impacts and adaptive capacity.