Climate change mitigation - Outlook 2020 (Croatia)

SOER 2010 Common environmental theme (Deprecated)

Topics: Climate change mitigation

This page was archived on 21 Mar 2015 with reason: A new version has been published

SOER Common environmental theme from Croatia

Topic: Climate change

Published: 26 Nov 2010 Modified: 11 May 2020

Emission projections and effects of implementation of policy and measures

The 2008-2011 Air Quality Protection and Improvement Plan for the Republic of Croatia (Official Gazette 61/2008) defined 33 measures for climate change mitigation which are currently either in preparation or being implemented. An accompanying GHG emission trend in the period 1990-2008 indicates an obvious deceleration of the emission increase during the recent years, which is partly an outcome of measures taken to fulfil the commitments under the Kyoto Protocol. Most of the measures are long-term and their effect will only be visible in the post-2011 period [4].

The GHG emission projections for the period until 2030 had not taken into consideration the effects of the economic crisis which started in 2008. Foreseeable impact of the economic crisis shall affect the GHG emission so that it will increase the likelihood that Croatia will meet its commitments under the Kyoto Protocol [5]. In the context of post-Kyoto negotiations, Croatia has submitted its 2013-2020 target to the UNFCCC Secretariat and aims to reduce emissions by 5% in relation to the base year [6] (Decision 7/CP12 included).

Table 2. ‘With measures’ scenario in relation to the Kyoto target (Gg CO2 eq) [5]

		1990	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2008–2012
1	BASE YEAR, according to Decision 7/CP12	34,822
2	KYOTO TARGET, 95% OF BASE YEAR	33,081	33,081	33,081	33,081	33,081	33,081	165,405
3	'WITH MEASURES' SCENARIO		32,585	33,335	34,085	35,095	36,105	171,205
4	'WITH MEASURES' SCENARIO + LAND USE AND FORESTRY		31,613	32,363	33,113	34,123	35,133	166,345
5	IN RELATION TO KYOTO TARGET (5-3)		-1,468	-718	32	1,042	2,052	940