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Projected changes in annual, summer and winter temperature

Figure Created 31 Jan 2014 Published 01 Aug 2014 Last modified 13 Apr 2018
2 min read
Projected changes in annual (left), summer (middle) and winter (right) near-surface air temperature (°C) in the period 2071-2100, compared with the baseline period 1971-2000 for the forcing scenarios RCP 4.5 (top) and RCP 8.5 (bottom). Model simulations are based on the multi-model ensemble average of RCM simulations from the EURO-CORDEX initiative.

Metadata

information.png Methodology:

Jacob et al. 2013;
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2

information.png Units:

degree Celsius

information.png Rights:
CORDEX terms of use:
http://cordex.dmi.dk/joomla/images/CORDEX/cordex_terms_of_use.pdf

We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme's Working Group on
Regional Climate, and the Working Group on Coupled Modelling, former coordinating body of CORDEX and responsible panel for CMIP5. We also acknowledge the Earth System Grid Federation infrastructure an international effort led by the U.S. Department of Energy's Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, the European Network for Earth System Modelling and other partners in the Global Organisation for Earth System Science Portals (GO-ESSP). We also thank the climate modelling groups for producing and making available their model output. Further information on the participating climate modelling groups and their funding sources is provided in the paper cited under "Methodology".
information.png Owners:
EURO-CORDEX
information.png Processors:
European Environment Agency (EEA)
information.png Figure type:
Map

Additional information

Further explanation available at:
http://www.euro-cordex.net/About-EURO-CORDEX.1864.0.html

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Based on data

Related figures

Figure Observed annual mean temperature change from 1960 to 2019 (left panel) and projected change under different emissions scenarios (right panels) in Europe Left panel: boxes outlined in black indicate areas with at least three stations, so are more likely to be representative; areas with significant long-term trends are indicated by black dots. Right panel: projected changes in near-surface air temperature by the period 2071-2100, compared with 1971-2000 for RCP4.5 (Representative Concentration Pathway) and 8.5 emissions scenarios; simulations are based on the multi-model ensemble average of simulations of the EURO-CORDEX initiative.
Figure
Archived
Observed annual mean temperature change from 1960 to 2019 (left panel) and projected 21st century change under different emissions scenarios (right panels) in Europe RCP, representative concentration pathway. Left panel: boxes outlined in black indicate areas with at least three stations, so are more likely to be representative; areas with significant long-term trends are indicated by black dots. Right panel: projected changes in near-surface air temperature by the period 2071-2100, compared with 1971-2000 for RCP4.5 and 8.5 emissions scenarios; simulations are based on the multi-model ensemble average of simulations of the EURO-CORDEX initiative.
Figure Projected changes in annual mean temperature (left) and annual precipitation (right) Projected changes are for 2071-2100, compared to 1971-2000, based on the average of a multi-model ensemble forced with the RCP8.5 high emissions scenario. All changes marked with a colour (i.e. not white) are statistically significant. Individual models from the EURO-CORDEX ensemble or high-resolution models for smaller regions may show different results.

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For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-changes-in-annual-summer-1 or scan the QR code.

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