Projected change in relative sea level
Figure
Created 25 Jul 2014
Published 25 Jul 2014
Last modified 15 May 2017
Note: new version is available!
The map shows the projected change in relative sea level in 2081-2100 compared to 1986-2005 for the medium-low emission scenario RCP4.5 based on an ensemble of CMIP5 climate models. Projections consider land movement due to glacial isostatic adjustment but not land subsidence due to human activities. No projections are available for the Black Sea.
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Gaps in data coverage (of grid cells partly covered by land and partly by sea) were filled using the nearest-neighbour method.
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Change in sea level (metre)
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Additional information
Source: adapted from Figure TS-23.b in the Working Group I contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC).
Data was supplied by Mark Carson (ZMAW, Germany), who is a contributing author to Chapter 13 of that IPCC report.
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For references, please go to https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-change-in-sea-level or scan the QR code.
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