Projected change in relative sea level

Figure expired Created 25 Jul 2014 Published 25 Jul 2014 Last modified 26 Aug 2017

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The map shows the projected change in relative sea level in 2081-2100 compared to 1986-2005 for the medium-low emission scenario RCP4.5 based on an ensemble of CMIP5 climate models. Projections consider land movement due to glacial isostatic adjustment but not land subsidence due to human activities. No projections are available for the Black Sea.

https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-change-in-sea-level/map_clim012-figure-6_interp.eps/image_large

Metadata

Temporal coverage:: 2081-2100
Tags:: climate change , oceans , sea level
Geographic coverage:: Baltic Sea , Bay of Biscay , Black Sea , Mediterranean Sea , North Atlantic Ocean , North Sea , Norwegian Sea
Methodology:: Gaps in data coverage (of grid cells partly covered by land and partly by sea) were filled using the nearest-neighbour method.
Units:: Change in sea level (metre)
Rights:: EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (https://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: European Environment Agency (EEA).
Owners:: European Environment Agency (EEA)
Figure type:: Map

Additional information

Source: adapted from Figure TS-23.b in the Working Group I contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC).
Data was supplied by Mark Carson (ZMAW, Germany), who is a contributing author to Chapter 13 of that IPCC report.

Related content

Based on data

RCP4.5 total sea level rise projections These projections were calculated for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (Working Group I contribution, Chapter 13, http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Chapter13_FINAL.pdf ). They were provided by Marc Carson (ZMAW), who is a contributing author to this chapter.

Used in indicators

What is the trend in mean sea level globally and across European seas?

Used in publications

Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 This report is an indicator-based assessment of past and projected climate change and its impacts on ecosystems and society. It also looks at society’s vulnerability to these impacts and at the development of adaptation policies and the underlying knowledge base. This is the fourth ‘Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe’ report, which is published every four years. This edition aims to support the implementation and review process of the 2013 EU Adaptation Strategy, which is foreseen for 2018, and the development of national and transnational adaptation strategies and plans.

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Climate-ADAPT	Climate Adaptation Platform
Copernicus In Situ	Copernicus in situ component
Copernicus Land	Copernicus land monitoring

European Pollutant Release and Transfer Register	E-PRTR
Information Platform for Chemical Monitoring	IPCHEM
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Projected change in relative sea level

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