Year
|
RCP2.6
|
RCP2.6_min
|
RCP2.6_max
|
RCP4.5
|
RCP4.5_min
|
RCP4.5_max
|
RCP6.0
|
RCP6.0_min
|
RCP6.0_max
|
RCP8.5
|
RCP8.5_min
|
RCP8.5_max
|
RCP2.6_mean
|
RCP8.5_mean
|
Nearly ice free
|
2006
|
5.73
|
5.29
|
6.24
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.47
|
4.46
|
6.3
|
5.83
|
6.02
|
1
|
2007
|
5.61
|
5.29
|
6.02
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.31
|
4.26
|
6.26
|
5.81
|
5.99
|
1
|
2008
|
5.51
|
5.09
|
5.97
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.19
|
3.9
|
6.23
|
5.81
|
5.95
|
1
|
2009
|
5.39
|
4.85
|
5.99
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.09
|
3.88
|
6.13
|
5.73
|
5.9
|
1
|
2010
|
5.16
|
4.67
|
5.69
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.06
|
3.87
|
6.17
|
5.67
|
5.86
|
1
|
2011
|
4.96
|
4.41
|
5.48
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.05
|
3.72
|
6.18
|
5.59
|
5.84
|
1
|
2012
|
4.84
|
4.2
|
5.39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.08
|
3.76
|
6.19
|
5.52
|
5.81
|
1
|
2013
|
4.6
|
3.94
|
5.17
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.14
|
4.07
|
6.19
|
5.45
|
5.8
|
1
|
2014
|
4.41
|
3.7
|
5.09
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.16
|
3.98
|
6.37
|
5.38
|
5.72
|
1
|
2015
|
4.46
|
3.62
|
5.22
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.1
|
4.04
|
6.18
|
5.32
|
5.66
|
1
|
2016
|
4.46
|
3.55
|
5.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.95
|
3.93
|
6.04
|
5.28
|
5.6
|
1
|
2017
|
4.49
|
3.52
|
5.45
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.76
|
3.74
|
5.86
|
5.22
|
5.52
|
1
|
2018
|
4.64
|
3.69
|
5.56
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.63
|
3.47
|
5.73
|
5.17
|
5.44
|
1
|
2019
|
4.57
|
3.68
|
5.35
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.51
|
3.4
|
5.55
|
5.09
|
5.4
|
1
|
2020
|
4.34
|
3.49
|
5.27
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.39
|
3.23
|
5.58
|
5.05
|
5.35
|
1
|
2021
|
4.2
|
3.23
|
5.33
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.39
|
3.35
|
5.57
|
4.97
|
5.27
|
1
|
2022
|
4.03
|
2.98
|
5.35
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.37
|
3.43
|
5.61
|
4.89
|
5.18
|
1
|
2023
|
3.86
|
2.74
|
5.21
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.22
|
3.39
|
5.57
|
4.84
|
5.08
|
1
|
2024
|
3.82
|
2.68
|
5.34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.07
|
3.22
|
5.42
|
4.77
|
4.98
|
1
|
2025
|
3.95
|
2.76
|
5.51
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.91
|
3.03
|
5.28
|
4.73
|
4.83
|
1
|
2026
|
4.01
|
2.8
|
5.44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.66
|
2.71
|
5.13
|
4.72
|
4.77
|
1
|
2027
|
3.97
|
2.94
|
5.11
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.43
|
2.11
|
4.94
|
4.69
|
4.7
|
1
|
2028
|
3.99
|
3.01
|
5.09
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.23
|
1.72
|
4.73
|
4.62
|
4.59
|
1
|
2029
|
3.95
|
3
|
4.81
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.01
|
1.46
|
4.46
|
4.62
|
4.45
|
1
|
2030
|
3.83
|
3.06
|
4.37
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.87
|
1.23
|
4.31
|
4.54
|
4.42
|
1
|
2031
|
3.9
|
3.29
|
4.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.85
|
1.16
|
4.41
|
4.5
|
4.34
|
1
|
2032
|
3.97
|
3.27
|
4.67
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.84
|
1.41
|
4.49
|
4.49
|
4.26
|
1
|
2033
|
3.84
|
3.08
|
4.88
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.84
|
1.48
|
4.34
|
4.49
|
4.2
|
1
|
2034
|
3.71
|
2.83
|
5.02
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.07
|
1.53
|
4.64
|
4.42
|
4.19
|
1
|
2035
|
3.54
|
2.54
|
5.12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.01
|
1.56
|
4.51
|
4.38
|
4.08
|
1
|
2036
|
3.28
|
2.24
|
4.98
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.91
|
1.45
|
4.66
|
4.32
|
4.01
|
1
|
2037
|
3.08
|
2.03
|
4.71
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.77
|
1.31
|
4.59
|
4.22
|
3.89
|
1
|
2038
|
2.96
|
1.88
|
4.51
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.73
|
1.33
|
4.77
|
4.11
|
3.81
|
1
|
2039
|
2.95
|
2
|
4.31
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.55
|
1.17
|
4.82
|
4.05
|
3.74
|
1
|
2040
|
2.79
|
1.94
|
4.02
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.55
|
1.15
|
4.97
|
3.94
|
3.65
|
1
|
2041
|
2.7
|
1.8
|
3.77
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.42
|
1.16
|
4.73
|
3.89
|
3.56
|
1
|
2042
|
2.54
|
1.53
|
3.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.35
|
1.13
|
4.54
|
3.82
|
3.51
|
1
|
2043
|
2.46
|
1.57
|
3.61
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.13
|
0.92
|
4.37
|
3.79
|
3.43
|
1
|
2044
|
2.55
|
1.58
|
3.84
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.82
|
0.78
|
4
|
3.76
|
3.3
|
1
|
2045
|
2.54
|
1.51
|
3.92
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.55
|
0.56
|
3.79
|
3.75
|
3.23
|
1
|
2046
|
2.39
|
1.35
|
4.07
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.45
|
0.46
|
3.39
|
3.65
|
3.14
|
1
|
2047
|
2.5
|
1.39
|
4.19
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.31
|
0.3
|
3.28
|
3.65
|
3.04
|
1
|
2048
|
2.58
|
1.21
|
4.38
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.25
|
0.32
|
3.25
|
3.67
|
2.95
|
1
|
2049
|
2.42
|
0.95
|
4.23
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.17
|
0.28
|
3.14
|
3.66
|
2.91
|
1
|
2050
|
2.41
|
0.77
|
4.39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.12
|
0.24
|
3.04
|
3.73
|
2.86
|
1
|
2051
|
2.54
|
0.81
|
4.42
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.02
|
0.17
|
3.02
|
3.82
|
2.81
|
1
|
2052
|
2.31
|
0.69
|
4.07
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.92
|
0.15
|
2.61
|
3.83
|
2.71
|
1
|
2053
|
2.15
|
0.57
|
3.94
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.81
|
0.12
|
2.21
|
3.83
|
2.62
|
1
|
2054
|
2.2
|
0.51
|
3.97
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.69
|
0.11
|
1.82
|
3.87
|
2.53
|
1
|
2055
|
2.23
|
0.52
|
3.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.67
|
0.13
|
1.58
|
3.89
|
2.42
|
1
|
2056
|
2.22
|
0.55
|
4.12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.52
|
0.11
|
1.15
|
3.84
|
2.31
|
1
|
2057
|
2.37
|
0.6
|
4.56
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.52
|
0.11
|
1.32
|
3.83
|
2.25
|
1
|
2058
|
2.49
|
0.78
|
4.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.47
|
0.1
|
1.32
|
3.81
|
2.22
|
1
|
2059
|
2.49
|
0.86
|
5.08
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.44
|
0.11
|
1.27
|
3.78
|
2.16
|
1
|
2060
|
2.49
|
0.83
|
5.32
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.36
|
0.09
|
1.02
|
3.73
|
2.1
|
1
|
2061
|
2.5
|
0.82
|
5.18
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.38
|
0.07
|
1.18
|
3.73
|
2.05
|
1
|
2062
|
2.24
|
0.74
|
4.65
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.34
|
0.06
|
0.94
|
3.73
|
1.96
|
1
|
2063
|
2.09
|
0.62
|
4.51
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.28
|
0.04
|
0.71
|
3.71
|
1.85
|
1
|
2064
|
2.12
|
0.81
|
4.19
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.27
|
0.03
|
0.68
|
3.71
|
1.73
|
1
|
2065
|
2.06
|
0.85
|
3.78
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.23
|
0.02
|
0.61
|
3.73
|
1.69
|
1
|
2066
|
1.97
|
0.82
|
3.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.19
|
0.02
|
0.44
|
3.75
|
1.61
|
1
|
2067
|
2.23
|
0.87
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.15
|
0.02
|
0.34
|
3.8
|
1.56
|
1
|
2068
|
2.19
|
0.81
|
3.89
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.16
|
0.02
|
0.34
|
3.84
|
1.52
|
1
|
2069
|
2.05
|
0.58
|
3.83
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.17
|
0.02
|
0.42
|
3.87
|
1.48
|
1
|
2070
|
2.06
|
0.61
|
4.12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.16
|
0.01
|
0.42
|
3.88
|
1.38
|
1
|
2071
|
2.11
|
0.48
|
4.34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.13
|
0.01
|
0.38
|
3.85
|
1.33
|
1
|
2072
|
2.03
|
0.42
|
4.32
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.13
|
0
|
0.35
|
3.8
|
1.29
|
1
|
2073
|
2.02
|
0.42
|
4.44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
0
|
0.3
|
3.79
|
1.24
|
1
|
2074
|
1.97
|
0.3
|
4.32
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.08
|
0
|
0.24
|
3.76
|
1.19
|
1
|
2075
|
1.88
|
0.23
|
4.06
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.08
|
0
|
0.22
|
3.73
|
1.15
|
1
|
2076
|
1.85
|
0.3
|
3.83
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.09
|
0
|
0.26
|
3.79
|
1.1
|
1
|
2077
|
1.88
|
0.34
|
3.59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.09
|
0
|
0.26
|
3.79
|
1.04
|
1
|
2078
|
2.13
|
0.5
|
3.48
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.09
|
0
|
0.27
|
3.83
|
0.98
|
1
|
2079
|
2.32
|
0.5
|
3.76
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.08
|
0
|
0.23
|
3.84
|
0.93
|
1
|
2080
|
2.55
|
0.5
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.08
|
0
|
0.21
|
3.89
|
0.87
|
1
|
2081
|
2.72
|
0.43
|
4.19
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.05
|
0
|
0.12
|
3.94
|
0.81
|
1
|
2082
|
2.87
|
0.53
|
4.43
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0
|
0.1
|
4.03
|
0.77
|
1
|
2083
|
2.88
|
0.54
|
4.63
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0
|
0.09
|
4.03
|
0.74
|
1
|
2084
|
2.85
|
0.56
|
4.56
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0
|
0.08
|
4.06
|
0.74
|
1
|
2085
|
2.81
|
0.6
|
4.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0
|
0.09
|
4.05
|
0.73
|
1
|
2086
|
2.76
|
0.7
|
4.52
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0
|
0.1
|
4.01
|
0.73
|
1
|
2087
|
2.75
|
0.62
|
4.72
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0
|
0.1
|
3.97
|
0.71
|
1
|
2088
|
2.62
|
0.53
|
4.62
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0
|
0.08
|
3.92
|
0.69
|
1
|
2089
|
2.65
|
0.6
|
4.62
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0
|
0.09
|
3.89
|
0.63
|
1
|
2090
|
2.78
|
0.7
|
4.79
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0
|
0.09
|
3.87
|
0.57
|
1
|
2091
|
2.77
|
0.69
|
4.74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0
|
0.08
|
3.86
|
0.54
|
1
|
2092
|
2.7
|
0.62
|
4.45
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0
|
0.07
|
3.9
|
0.51
|
1
|
2093
|
2.7
|
0.65
|
4.41
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0
|
0.08
|
3.95
|
0.47
|
1
|
2094
|
2.59
|
0.52
|
4.28
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0
|
0.08
|
3.96
|
0.44
|
1
|
2095
|
2.52
|
0.48
|
4.29
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0
|
0.09
|
4
|
0.42
|
1
|
2096
|
2.51
|
0.4
|
4.35
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0
|
0.09
|
4.05
|
0.38
|
1
|
2097
|
2.55
|
0.47
|
4.45
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0
|
0.09
|
4.02
|
0.35
|
1
|
2098
|
2.68
|
0.44
|
4.59
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0
|
0.07
|
4
|
0.32
|
1
|
2099
|
2.73
|
0.43
|
4.81
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0
|
0.04
|
4.03
|
0.31
|
1
|
2100
|
2.8
|
0.32
|
4.89
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0
|
0.02
|
3.98
|
0.3
|
1
|
2101
|
2.73
|
0.52
|
4.62
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2102
|
|
|
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
1.65
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2103
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.21
|
0.09
|
0.33
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2104
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0
|
0.07
|
|
|
|