| Year | All greenhouse gases and other forcing agents (incl. aerosols) | 50 % probability of below 1.5 °C | 50 % probability of below 2 °C |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | 322.4 | 430 | 530 |
| 1975 | 332.4 | 430 | 530 |
| 1978 | 340.3 | 430 | 530 |
| 1979 | 343.5 | 430 | 530 |
| 1980 | 346.6 | 430 | 530 |
| 1981 | 349.0 | 430 | 530 |
| 1982 | 351.7 | 430 | 530 |
| 1983 | 354.2 | 430 | 530 |
| 1984 | 356.8 | 430 | 530 |
| 1985 | 359.3 | 430 | 530 |
| 1986 | 362.0 | 430 | 530 |
| 1987 | 364.6 | 430 | 530 |
| 1988 | 368.6 | 430 | 530 |
| 1989 | 371.4 | 430 | 530 |
| 1990 | 373.4 | 430 | 530 |
| 1991 | 376.4 | 430 | 530 |
| 1992 | 378.1 | 430 | 530 |
| 1993 | 379.6 | 430 | 530 |
| 1994 | 382.1 | 430 | 530 |
| 1995 | 385.0 | 430 | 530 |
| 1996 | 387.7 | 430 | 530 |
| 1997 | 389.6 | 430 | 530 |
| 1998 | 393.2 | 430 | 530 |
| 1999 | 396.3 | 430 | 530 |
| 2000 | 398.3 | 430 | 530 |
| 2001 | 400.1 | 430 | 530 |
| 2002 | 402.3 | 430 | 530 |
| 2003 | 405.3 | 430 | 530 |
| 2004 | 407.0 | 430 | 530 |
| 2005 | 409.6 | 430 | 530 |
| 2006 | 413.1 | 430 | 530 |
| 2007 | 416.1 | 430 | 530 |
| 2008 | 419.8 | 430 | 530 |
| 2009 | 422.5 | 430 | 530 |
| 2010 | 426.2 | 430 | 530 |
| 2011 | 429.5 | 430 | 530 |
| 2012 | 433.0 | 430 | 530 |
| 2013 | 437.3 | 430 | 530 |
| 2014 | 440.6 | 430 | 530 |