Year All greenhouse gases including aerosols 67 % probability of below 1.5 °C 67 % probability of below 2 °C
1750 278 465 505
1755 278.206433 465 505
1760 278.447498 465 505
1765 278.7215589 465 505
1770 279.0229466 465 505
1775 279.3503946 465 505
1780 279.7492275 465 505
1785 280.2161934 465 505
1790 280.754692 465 505
1795 281.3615868 465 505
1800 281.9890803 465 505
1805 282.6363376 465 505
1810 283.3808083 465 505
1815 284.2184507 465 505
1820 285.1392642 465 505
1825 286.1399909 465 505
1830 287.2070966 465 505
1835 288.3381409 465 505
1840 289.5446955 465 505
1845 290.8241009 465 505
1850 282.1579163 465 505
1855 283.0676268 465 505
1860 283.9802704 465 505
1865 284.8116367 465 505
1870 285.6454369 465 505
1875 287.4361749 465 505
1880 289.2381391 465 505
1885 291.1850725 465 505
1890 293.1451111 465 505
1895 294.1809408 465 505
1900 295.2204305 465 505
1905 297.9042869 465 505
1910 300.6125423 465 505
1915 303.2127117 465 505
1920 305.8353714 465 505
1925 308.2554137 465 505
1930 310.6946056 465 505
1935 313.4530309 465 505
1940 316.2359461 465 505
1945 317.2171803 465 505
1950 318.2014591 465 505
1955 319.2889528 465 505
1960 322.5355027 465 505
1965 324.7896639 465 505
1970 329.9932639 465 505
1975 343.0387691 465 505
1978 351.7101606 465 505
1979 354.5766893 465 505
1980 358.6201776 465 505
1981 360.8224467 465 505
1982 363.0668343 465 505
1983 365.3953662 465 505
1984 367.8706243 465 505
1985 370.3252681 465 505
1986 372.8997487 465 505
1987 375.7201702 465 505
1988 379.9831371 465 505
1989 382.6367764 465 505
1990 384.5142353 465 505
1991 386.731261 465 505
1992 387.4409474 465 505
1993 387.9898406 465 505
1994 389.5954159 465 505
1995 391.6974684 465 505
1996 393.6363947 465 505
1997 394.7531212 465 505
1998 397.4361148 465 505
1999 399.775511 465 505
2000 400.8203176 465 505
2001 403.423857 465 505
2002 406.7253888 465 505
2003 410.7266062 465 505
2004 413.4531551 465 505
2005 417.0654082 465 505
2006 419.872622 465 505
2007 423.4312941 465 505
2008 426.4673747 465 505
2009 427.9646763 465 505
2010 430.9538053 465 505
2011 435.0043336 465 505
2012 439.8957476 465 505
2013 442.2267457 465 505
2014 443.7238566 465 505
2015 445.3724615 465 505
2016 449.7503411 465 505
2017 453.1760057 465 505
2018 456.8077459 465 505