| Year | All greenhouse gases including aerosols | 50 % probability of below 2 °C | 50 % probability of below 1.5 °C | All greenhouse gases* |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1970 | 322.407 | 530 | 430 | 291.676 |
| 1975 | 332.361 | 530 | 430 | 302.929 |
| 1978 | 340.274 | 530 | 430 | 311.531 |
| 1979 | 343.48 | 530 | 430 | 314.935 |
| 1980 | 346.528 | 530 | 430 | 318.203 |
| 1981 | 348.993 | 530 | 430 | 320.944 |
| 1982 | 351.621 | 530 | 430 | 323.844 |
| 1983 | 354.172 | 530 | 430 | 326.679 |
| 1984 | 356.803 | 530 | 430 | 329.597 |
| 1985 | 359.284 | 530 | 430 | 332.383 |
| 1986 | 361.952 | 530 | 430 | 335.351 |
| 1987 | 364.583 | 530 | 430 | 338.292 |
| 1988 | 368.518 | 530 | 430 | 342.453 |
| 1989 | 371.388 | 530 | 430 | 345.635 |
| 1990 | 373.393 | 530 | 430 | 348.019 |
| 1991 | 376.378 | 530 | 430 | 350.706 |
| 1992 | 378.021 | 530 | 430 | 352.143 |
| 1993 | 379.519 | 530 | 430 | 353.443 |
| 1994 | 382.057 | 530 | 430 | 355.712 |
| 1995 | 385.01 | 530 | 430 | 358.365 |
| 1996 | 387.677 | 530 | 430 | 360.75 |
| 1997 | 389.591 | 530 | 430 | 362.434 |
| 1998 | 393.123 | 530 | 430 | 365.622 |
| 1999 | 396.301 | 530 | 430 | 368.478 |
| 2000 | 398.227 | 530 | 430 | 370.169 |
| 2001 | 399.895 | 530 | 430 | 372.23 |
| 2002 | 402.249 | 530 | 430 | 374.934 |
| 2003 | 405.248 | 530 | 430 | 378.248 |
| 2004 | 406.965 | 530 | 430 | 380.372 |
| 2005 | 409.583 | 530 | 430 | 383.344 |
| 2006 | 413.025 | 530 | 430 | 385.88 |
| 2007 | 416.08 | 530 | 430 | 388.052 |
| 2008 | 419.74 | 530 | 430 | 390.787 |
| 2009 | 422.438 | 530 | 430 | 392.626 |
| 2010 | 426.126 | 530 | 430 | 395.386 |
| 2011 | 429.507 | 530 | 430 | 397.822 |
| 2012 | 433.016 | 530 | 430 | 400.472 |
| 2013 | 437.339 | 530 | 430 | 403.876 |
| 2014 | 440.862 | 530 | 430 | 406.54 |
| 2015 | 444.536 | 530 | 430 | 409.344 |