Year Historical data Historical estimates Medium fertility Medium fertility scenario High fertility High fertility scenario Low fertility Low fertility scenario Constant fertility Constant fertility scenario Instant-replacement Instant replacement scenario Constant-mortality Constant mortality scenario No change No change scenario
1950 2.526
1951 2.573
1952 2.619
1953 2.666
1954 2.713
1955 2.762
1956 2.812
1957 2.863
1958 2.916
1959 2.97
1960 3.026
1961 3.083
1962 3.141
1963 3.201
1964 3.264
1965 3.329
1966 3.397
1967 3.469
1968 3.542
1969 3.616
1970 3.691
1971 3.767
1972 3.843
1973 3.919
1974 3.995
1975 4.071
1976 4.146
1977 4.221
1978 4.296
1979 4.372
1980 4.449
1981 4.528
1982 4.609
1983 4.692
1984 4.776
1985 4.864
1986 4.953
1987 5.045
1988 5.138
1989 5.23
1990 5.321
1991 5.409
1992 5.495
1993 5.579
1994 5.661
1995 5.742
1996 5.821
1997 5.899
1998 5.975
1999 6.051
2000 6.128
2001 6.204
2002 6.281
2003 6.358
2004 6.436
2005 6.514
2006 6.593
2007 6.673
2008 6.754
2009 6.835
2010 6.93
2011 7.013
2012 7.098
2013 7.182
2014 7.266
2015 7.349
2016 7.433 7.441 7.425 7.436 7.424 7.43 7.433
2017 7.515 7.535 7.495 7.523 7.494 7.509 7.517
2018 7.597 7.632 7.563 7.611 7.561 7.587 7.601
2019 7.678 7.729 7.627 7.7 7.627 7.662 7.683
2020 7.758 7.828 7.689 7.789 7.692 7.736 7.766
2021 7.837 7.926 7.748 7.878 7.757 7.807 7.848
2022 7.915 8.025 7.805 7.967 7.823 7.877 7.929
2023 7.991 8.123 7.859 8.056 7.887 7.945 8.009
2024 8.067 8.223 7.911 8.146 7.951 8.011 8.089
2025 8.142 8.322 7.961 8.237 8.015 8.075 8.168
2026 8.215 8.423 8.008 8.328 8.077 8.137 8.247
2027 8.288 8.523 8.053 8.419 8.138 8.197 8.326
2028 8.36 8.623 8.096 8.511 8.198 8.256 8.404
2029 8.431 8.723 8.138 8.604 8.258 8.313 8.482
2030 8.501 8.822 8.18 8.698 8.317 8.368 8.559
2031 8.57 8.92 8.22 8.792 8.376 8.421 8.637
2032 8.638 9.017 8.26 8.887 8.433 8.472 8.714
2033 8.706 9.114 8.298 8.984 8.49 8.522 8.791
2034 8.773 9.21 8.336 9.081 8.545 8.57 8.868
2035 8.839 9.306 8.372 9.18 8.6 8.617 8.945
2036 8.904 9.402 8.407 9.28 8.654 8.662 9.022
2037 8.969 9.499 8.441 9.381 8.706 8.705 9.1
2038 9.032 9.595 8.473 9.484 8.758 8.746 9.178
2039 9.095 9.692 8.504 9.589 8.808 8.786 9.256
2040 9.157 9.789 8.532 9.695 8.857 8.823 9.335
2041 9.218 9.887 8.559 9.803 8.904 8.86 9.414
2042 9.279 9.986 8.584 9.913 8.951 8.894 9.494
2043 9.338 10.085 8.607 10.025 8.996 8.927 9.575
2044 9.396 10.185 8.628 10.139 9.04 8.958 9.656
2045 9.454 10.286 8.647 10.255 9.082 8.987 9.738
2046 9.51 10.388 8.664 10.373 9.124 9.014 9.821
2047 9.566 10.49 8.679 10.494 9.164 9.04 9.905
2048 9.62 10.593 8.691 10.617 9.204 9.063 9.991
2049 9.673 10.697 8.702 10.743 9.242 9.085 10.077
2050 9.725 10.801 8.71 10.872 9.279 9.106 10.165
2051 9.776 10.906 8.716 11.004 9.316 9.124 10.254
2052 9.826 11.011 8.72 11.138 9.351 9.141 10.345
2053 9.875 11.117 8.723 11.276 9.386 9.156 10.437
2054 9.922 11.223 8.723 11.418 9.419 9.169 10.531
2055 9.969 11.329 8.721 11.562 9.452 9.181 10.627
2056 10.014 11.435 8.717 11.711 9.483 9.191 10.725
2057 10.058 11.541 8.712 11.863 9.513 9.199 10.825
2058 10.101 11.647 8.705 12.019 9.543 9.206 10.928
2059 10.143 11.753 8.696 12.18 9.571 9.211 11.033
2060 10.184 11.859 8.686 12.345 9.598 9.215 11.14
2061 10.224 11.966 8.674 12.515 9.625 9.218 11.251
2062 10.263 12.072 8.661 12.69 9.651 9.219 11.364
2063 10.302 12.179 8.646 12.87 9.675 9.219 11.48
2064 10.339 12.285 8.63 13.055 9.699 9.218 11.599
2065 10.376 12.393 8.613 13.246 9.723 9.216 11.722
2066 10.412 12.5 8.595 13.443 9.745 9.212 11.848
2067 10.447 12.609 8.575 13.646 9.767 9.208 11.977
2068 10.481 12.718 8.554 13.856 9.789 9.202 12.111
2069 10.515 12.827 8.532 14.072 9.809 9.195 12.248
2070 10.548 12.937 8.508 14.295 9.829 9.188 12.389
2071 10.58 13.048 8.483 14.525 9.849 9.179 12.535
2072 10.612 13.16 8.457 14.763 9.868 9.17 12.685
2073 10.642 13.272 8.429 15.009 9.886 9.16 12.839
2074 10.672 13.386 8.4 15.262 9.904 9.149 12.998
2075 10.702 13.5 8.37 15.524 9.922 9.137 13.162
2076 10.73 13.615 8.339 15.794 9.939 9.124 13.331
2077 10.758 13.731 8.306 16.074 9.956 9.11 13.505
2078 10.785 13.847 8.272 16.363 9.972 9.096 13.684
2079 10.811 13.965 8.236 16.661 9.988 9.081 13.869
2080 10.837 14.083 8.2 16.97 10.004 9.065 14.06
2081 10.861 14.202 8.162 17.289 10.02 9.048 14.256
2082 10.885 14.322 8.123 17.619 10.036 9.031 14.459
2083 10.909 14.443 8.084 17.961 10.051 9.013 14.667
2084 10.931 14.564 8.043 18.314 10.066 8.994 14.882
2085 10.954 14.686 8.001 18.679 10.081 8.974 15.103
2086 10.975 14.809 7.958 19.058 10.096 8.953 15.331
2087 10.996 14.932 7.915 19.449 10.112 8.932 15.566
2088 11.016 15.056 7.871 19.854 10.127 8.909 15.808
2089 11.036 15.181 7.826 20.273 10.142 8.886 16.056
2090 11.055 15.306 7.781 20.707 10.157 8.862 16.312
2091 11.074 15.431 7.734 21.155 10.173 8.838 16.576
2092 11.092 15.557 7.688 21.62 10.188 8.812 16.848
2093 11.109 15.684 7.64 22.101 10.204 8.786 17.127
2094 11.126 15.81 7.592 22.598 10.219 8.759 17.414
2095 11.142 15.938 7.544 23.113 10.235 8.732 17.71
2096 11.158 16.065 7.495 23.645 10.251 8.703 18.015
2097 11.173 16.193 7.445 24.196 10.267 8.675 18.329
2098 11.187 16.321 7.395 24.767 10.283 8.645 18.652
2099 11.201 16.449 7.345 25.356 10.299 8.615 18.984
2100 11.213 16.577 7.294 25.967 10.314 8.585 19.326