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Adapting to climate change - key fact 1
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Temperature rises of 2° C or more are likely to cause major disruptions.
Located in
The European environment – state and outlook 2010
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Adapting to climate change - SOER 2010 thematic assessment
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Key facts
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Adapting to climate change — key message 2
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A temperature rise of 2 °C or more above pre-industrial levels is likely to cause major societal, economic and environmental disruption, making it challenging for human and natural systems to adapt at affordable costs. Climate change will affect the vulnerability of European society to an array of threats to human health, almost all economic sectors, ecosystem goods and services and biodiversity.
Located in
The European environment – state and outlook 2010
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Adapting to climate change - SOER 2010 thematic assessment
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Key messages
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Animal phenology (CLIM 025) - Assessment published Nov 2012
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Many animal groups have advanced their life-cycles in recent decades, including frogs spawning, birds nesting and the arrival of migrant birds and butterflies. This advancement is attributed primarily to a warming climate.
The breeding season of many thermophilic insects (such as butterflies, dragonflies and bark beetles) has been lengthening, allowing more generations to be produced per year.
The observed trends are expected to continue in the future but quantitative projections are rather uncertain.
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Data and maps
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Indicators
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Animal phenology
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Animal phenology (CLIM 025) - Assessment published Sep 2008
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Climatic warming has caused advancement in the life cycles of many animal groups, including frogs spawning, birds nesting and the arrival of migrant birds and butterflies. Seasonal advancement is particularly strong and rapid in the Arctic. Breeding seasons are lengthening, allowing extra generations of temperature-sensitive insects such as butterflies, dragonflies and pest species to be produced during the year. These trends are projected to continue as climate warming increases in the decades to come. Populations may explode if the young are not exposed to normal predation pressures. Conversely, populations may crash if the emergence of vulnerable young is not in synchrony with their main food source or if shorter hibernation times lead to declines in body condition.
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Data and maps
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Indicators
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Animal phenology
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Annual precipitation changes 2021-2050
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Projected changes in annual precipitation in percentages under A1B scenario, multi-model ensemble mean for the time periods 2021-2050 relative to 1961-1990 mean. Map presents changes using ensemble mean of several regional climate models (RCMs), run by different climate modelling communities in the frame of the EU FP6 Integrated Project ENSEMBLES (Contract number 505539). Data are presented as changes in relative terms (according to 1961-1990 period) in spatial resolution of approximately 25 km.
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Environmental topics
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Climate change
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Interactive maps and data viewers
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Annual sea surface temperature (SST) deviations averaged over the northern hemisphere
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Annual temperature deviation in Europe in 2003
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Note: Temperature deviation, relative to average temperature from 1961-1990 (degrees Celcius).
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Annual, winter (December, January, February) and summer (June, July, August) mean temperature deviations in Europe, 1860-2010 (°C)
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The lines refer to 10-year moving average European land.
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Annual, winter (December, January, February) and summer (June, July, August) mean temperature deviations in Europe, 1860-2007 (oC). The lines refer to 10-year moving average European land
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Anomalies in Northern Hemisphere average sea surface temperature from HadSST2
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HadSST2 = Hadley Centre sea surface temperature data set
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs