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Key facts: Located in The European environment – state and outlook 2010 › Global megatrends › SOER 2010 — assessment of global megatrends
BLOSSOM — Bridging long-term scenario and strategy analysis: organisation and methods: A cross-country analysis
Located in Publications
Catalogue of scenario studies — Knowledge base for Forward-Looking Information and Services: The report brings together a review of available scenarios studies relevant to environmental assessment and decision-making at the European (or sub-European) scale (263 studies), and facts sheets of selected 44 studies using common description categories, which enables the user to review existing scenario studies that may be of relevance to their particular interest and benefit from them. It is also a contribution to the evolving knowledge base for Forward-Looking Information and Services (FLIS).
Located in Publications
Knowledge base for Forward-Looking Information and Services (FLIS): Knowledge base for Forward-looking information and services (FLIS) is a platform to support long-term decision-making. The aim of FLIS is to introduce forward-looking components and perspectives into existing environmental information systems and to expand the knowledge base and its use.
Located in Publications
Prelude: Located in Multimedia centre › Interactive › Prelude - Scenarios interactive tool
Looking back on looking forward: a review of evaluative scenario literature: Faced with risk and uncertainty, environmental policy-makers are increasingly using scenario planning to guide decision‑making. The vibrancy of the field is evident in the numerous case studies conducted using diverse methodologies. Yet even well‑crafted scenarios can fail to have their intended policy impact if they present irrelevant information, lack support from relevant actors, are poorly embedded into relevant organisations or ignore key institutional context conditions. Unfortunately, the shortage of research on scenario planning and its influence means that there is limited guidance on how to optimise scenarios, in terms of both outputs and uptake by policy-makers. This technical report addresses this lack of information, presenting a review of relevant academic and non‑academic literature on the issue.
Located in Publications
Modelling environmental change in Europe: towards a model inventory (SEIS/Forward): Located in Publications
Welcome to a PRELUDE of Europe's future!: PRELUDE is an EEA project to simulate five contrasting future environmental scenarios for a Europe affected by changing patterns of land use, climate change, agriculture and demographics. The scenarios were created by a group of policy-makers, interest group representatives, experts and independent thinkers from across Europe, combining qualitative analysis and quantitative modelling. This mindstretcher allows you to see how different conditions prompted the various outcomes.
Located in Environmental topics › Environmental scenarios › Multimedia