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Renewable energy consumption - outlook from IEA (Outlook 039) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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Renewable energy sources are set to expand rapidly. Excluding traditional biomass use, their share of global energy demand is projected to climb from 7% in 2006 to 10% by 2030 in the Reference Scenario.
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Renewable energy consumption - outlook from IEA
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Temperature extremes in Europe (CLIM 003) - Assessment DRAFT created Sep 2008
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Extremes of cold have become less frequent in Europe while warm extremes have become more frequent. The frequency of hot days almost tripled between 1880 and 2005. For Europe as a whole heat waves are projected to increase in frequency, intensity and duration, whereas winter temperature variability and the number of cold and frost extremes are projected to decrease further. The European regions projected to be most affected are the Iberian Peninsula, central Europe including the Alps, the eastern Adriatic seaboard, and southern Greece.
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Temperature extremes in Europe
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Total electricity consumption - outlook from IEA (Outlook 028) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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World electricity demand in the Reference Scenario is projected to grow at an annual rate of 3.2% in the period 2006 to 2015, slowing down to 2% per year on average in 2015-2030. This reflects a shift in economies of non-OECD countries away from energy heavy manufacturing towards lighter industries and services as well as saturation effects in the OECD and some emerging economies. The EU final electricity consumption is projected to grow at an annual rate of 1% between 2006 and 2030 which is the smallest among OECD Countries except of Japan (0.7%).
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Total electricity consumption - outlook from IEA
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Total energy consumption - outlook from IEA (Outlook 030) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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World energy use continues to increase steadily in the Reference Scenario, but at a slower rate than projected in WEO-2007 report, mainly due to higher energy prices and slower economic growth. Other contributing factors are policy changes such as for example the US Energy Independence and Security Act, which mandates vehicle fuel economy improvements.
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Total energy consumption - outlook from IEA
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Total population - outlook from UNSTAT (Outlook 042) - Assessment published Jun 2009
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Population growth in Europe differs widely from sub-regionally. Population within the European Economic Area (EEA) is projected to remain stable until 2050 while population of EECCA countries is projected to drop by as much as 13,6% from 2000 to 2050.The South-Eastern European region is expected to grow with of 31,3% during the projected period. Worldwide population is expected to reach over 9 billion by 2050. India is projected to contribute 58,5% to the global population increase and become the most populated nation in the world, while population in China is expected to grow by 10,9% from 2000 to 2050. Both the USA and Canada see continued growth with 41,3 and 39,3 percent respectively for the projected period.
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Total population - outlook from UNSTAT
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Use of freshwater resources - outlook from EEA (Outlook 014) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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Total water abstraction in Europe is expected to decrease by more than 10 % between 2000 and 2030 with pronounced decreases in Western Europe. Climate change is expected to reduce water availability and increase irrigation withdrawals in Mediterranean river basins. Under mid-range assumptions on temperature and precipitation changes, water availability is expected to decline in southern and south-eastern Europe (by 10 % or more in some river basins by 2030). The sectoral profile of water abstraction is expected to change: withdrawals for the electricity sector are projected to decrease dramatically over the next 30 years as a result of continuing substitution of once-through cooling by less water-intensive cooling tower systems. Water use in the manufacturing sector may grow significantly. Agricultureis expected to remain the largest water user in the Mediterranen countries, with more irrigation and warmer and drier growing seasons resulting from climate change.
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Use of freshwater resources - outlook from EEA
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PRELUDE - interactive land use scenarios - presentation
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Width is 320
Duration is 878.656
Video Type is Flash FLV
Height is 240
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Projected changes in fire danger
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Fire danger is expressed by the Seasonal Severity Rating (SSR). Based on projections by the Regional Climate Model (RCM) RACMO2 driven by the Global Climate Model (GCM) ECHAM5 for the SRES A1B emission scenario.
Left: projected change in SSR by 2071–2100 as compared to 1961–1990 baseline period; Right: projected annual average SSR in 2071–2100.
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Recycling vs. Incineration, without study S9
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Projected changes in annual and summer precipitation between 1961–1990 and 2071–2100
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Projected changes in annual (left) and summer (right) precipitation (%) between 1961-1990 and 2071-2100 as simulated by ENSEMBLES Regional Climate Models for the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario.
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