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AGRI_F03: Gross nutrient balance - outlook from EEA (Outlook 020) - Assessment published Jun 2007: Nutrient surpluses are expected to be moderately reduced in 2020. Best practices for fertilizer handling could significantly reduce the environmental pressures which are associated with nutrient balances.
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Agricultural scenarios data: Data are for trends and projections of agricultural activities and environmental pressures up to 2025 and cover 23 EU member countries.
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APE_F04: Emissions of ozone precursors - outlook from WBCSD (Outlook 006) - Assessment published Jun 2009: In developed countries efforts have been underway for decades to reduce ozone precursors (NOx, CO). There is a progress in reducing total NOx and CO emissions. Emissions per vehicle kilometer for light-duty vehicles have been substantially reduced. But growth in transport activity and problems in controlling in-use emissions have tended to offset some of the hoped-for improvements. The situation regarding ozone precursors in the transition countries (Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia and South Eastern Europe), especially in rapidly-growing urbanized areas, is somewhat different. Although NOx and CO emissions is expected to be reduced it will not happen as easily or as quickly as desired.
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BLOSSOM — Bridging long-term scenario and strategy analysis: organisation and methods: A cross-country analysis
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Catalogue of scenario studies — Knowledge base for Forward-Looking Information and Services: The report brings together a review of available scenarios studies relevant to environmental assessment and decision-making at the European (or sub-European) scale (263 studies), and facts sheets of selected 44 studies using common description categories, which enables the user to review existing scenario studies that may be of relevance to their particular interest and benefit from them. It is also a contribution to the evolving knowledge base for Forward-Looking Information and Services (FLIS).
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CC_F03: GHG emissions - outlook from IIASA (Outlook 031) - Assessment published Jun 2007: The RAINS* model provides information about the projections for the methane emissions. For the "current legislation" scenario a continued increase of global anthropogenic CH4 emissions is expected, leading to 35 percent increase in 2030 as compared to 2000. CH4 emissions from all sectors are expected to grow due to increased economic activities and absence of wide-spread emission control measures. In Western Europe and Newly Independent states overall CH4 emissions will only slightly increase. If all maximum technically feasible reductions (MFR scenario) were applied to the full extent, global CH4 emissions would stabilize up to 2030, though at considerable costs. Under the MFR scenario CH4 emissions in Western Europe and Newly Independent states would be able to decrease on 31% and 16% relatively.
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Change in species diversity as a result of climate change - outlook from EEA (Outlook 004) - Assessment published Jun 2007: Significant changes in the distribution of plant species in Europe are expected by 2100 due to increase of global temperature by about 3.10C. Such temperature increase going to be well above the long-term sustainable objective set in the 6th EAP. The Southwestern part and the most Eastern part (Russia) of Europe may suffer the highest changes in biodiversity; the loss of species might exceed 50 % by 2050. By 2100 most European Member States are expected to lose more than 50 species compared with the 1995 situation.
Located in Data and maps › Indicators › Change in species diversity as a result of climate change - outlook from EEA
Changes in global mean temperature for the base line and the climate action scenarios, compared with pre-industrial: Dotted lines show EU long-term sustainability objective.
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Climate change scenarios data: Data are for trends and projections of energy, emissions of greenhouse gases and some other indicators up to 2030 and cover EU25 members countries
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Emissions of primary particulates - outlook from WBCSD (Outlook 024) - Assessment published Jun 2007: In OECD-Europe countries efforts have been underway for decades to reduce particulates (PM-10). Progress in reducing total PM-10 has been slower. Emissions per vehicle kilometer for light-duty vehicles have been substantially reduced. But growth in transport activity and problems in controlling in-use emissions have tended to offset some of the hoped-for improvements. The situation regarding primary particulates in the countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus, Central Asia and South Eastern Europe, especially in rapidly-growing urbanized areas, is somewhat different. PM is expected not to be reduced as easily or as quickly. It is expected that total PM emissions will increase certainly for the next few decades and perhaps longer, before eventually declining.
Located in Data and maps › Indicators › Emissions of primary particulates - outlook from WBCSD