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Global and European sea-level rise (CLIM 012) - Assessment published Nov 2012
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Tide gauges show that global mean sea level rose at a rate of around 1.7 mm/year over the 20th century, but there has been significant decadal variations around this value.
Satellite measurements show a rate of global mean sea-level rise of around 3 mm/year over the last 2 decades.
Sea level is not rising uniformly at all locations, with some locations experiencing much greater than average rise.
Projections of global mean sea-level rise in the 21st century range between 20 cm and about 2 m. Modelling uncertainty contributes at least as much to the overall uncertainty as uncertainty about future GHG emissions scenarios. It is likely that 21st century sea-level rise will be greater than during the 20th century. It is more likely to be less than 1 m than to be more than 1 m.
Coastal impacts also depend on the vertical movement of the land, which can either add to or subtract from climate-induced sea-level change, depending on the particular location.
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Data and maps
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Indicators
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Global and European sea-level rise
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Range of high-end estimates of global sea-level rise published after the IPCC AR4
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This figure shows the range of high-end global sea-level rise (metre per century) estimates published after the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). AR4 results are shown for comparison in the three left-most columns.
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Potential inundation exposure for coastal cities due to projected sea level rise and storm surge events
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The map shows the proportion of the city area (UMZ inside the core city) that would be affected by potential inundation caused by a sea level rise of 1m.
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Marine and coastal environment — SOER 2010 thematic assessment
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European marine regions include the north-east Atlantic and Arctic oceans, and the
Mediterranean, Black and Baltic seas. Human activities — such as fishing, aquaculture and
agriculture — and climate change cause large and severe impacts on Europe's coastal and marine
ecosystems. The EU objective of halting biodiversity loss by 2010 has not been met in either the
coastal or the marine environment. Recognising the need for an integrated ecosystem-based
approach to reduce pressures, the EU Integrated Maritime Policy allows for the development
of sea-related activities in a sustainable manner. Its environmental pillar, the Marine Strategy
Framework Directive, aims to deliver 'good environmental status' of the marine environment
by 2020, and the Common Fisheries Policy will be reformed in 2012 with the aim of achieving
sustainable fisheries. Complementary policy efforts include the EU Water Framework Directive and
other freshwater legislation, and the Habitats and Birds Directives.
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The European environment – state and outlook 2010
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Thematic assessments
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Understanding climate change — SOER 2010 thematic assessment
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Average global air and ocean temperatures are rising, leading to the melting of snow and ice
and rising global mean sea level. Ocean acidification results from higher CO2 concentrations.
With unabated greenhouse gas emissions, climate change could lead to an increasing risk of
irreversible shifts in the climate system with potentially serious consequences. Temperature
rises of more than 1.5–2 °C above pre-industrial levels are likely to cause major societal and
environmental disruptions in many regions. The atmospheric CO2 concentration needs to be
stabilised at 350–400 parts per million (ppm) in order to have a 50 % chance of limiting global
mean temperature increase to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels (according to the IPCC in 2007,
and confirmed by later scientific insights).
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The European environment – state and outlook 2010
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Thematic assessments
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Floating cities: Environmental Atlas of Europe - The Netherlands
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Almost a third of the Netherlands lies below sea level, and over the centuries the country has developed a highly efficient flood-defence system. The tragic floods of 1953, caused by a storm surge and exceptionally spring tides, led to a range of modern-day engineering solutions as well as a heightened awareness in Dutch society of the dangers of sea level rise. But when, in the mid 1990s, unusually heavy rain in Belgium and Germany caused the Rhine and the Meuse to breach their banks and hundreds of thousands of people had to be evacuated, it was clear that long-term action would have to be taken to protect against flooding from river water as well. The government has now launched a wide ranging programme of adaptation schemes to protect the coasts from sea-level and to create 'Room for the River', by establishing unobstructed spaces into which the major rivers can safely over-flow.
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The Environmental Atlas
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Floating cities
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Video
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Climate refugees
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climate refugees
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Signals — every breath we take
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Signals 2011
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Eyewitness stories
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Climate change — time to act
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Climate change is a real and current threat. To avoid major irreversible impacts on society and ecosystems, we must act now.
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Multimedia centre
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Climate change, adaptation is vital
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Climate change is one of the biggest environmental, social and economic threats our planet currently faces. Profound changes are about to affect the mechanisms supporting life on earth, and their impact in the next few decades will be considerable.
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Multimedia centre
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EEA Briefing 3/2008 - Impacts of Europe's changing climate
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Global climate change is a reality. In Europe the most vulnerable regions are the Arctic,
mountain areas, coastal zones and the Mediterranean. Key economic sectors, which will
need to adapt include energy supply, health, water management, agriculture, forestry,
tourism and transport.
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Publications