Total population - outlook from UNSTAT (Outlook 042) - Assessment published Jun 2006
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Environmental scenarios (Primary topic)
Typology: Descriptive indicator (Type A - What is happening to the environment and to humans?)
- Outlook 042
Key policy question: What are the population trends in the pan-European region?
Assessment is created in 2007
Total world population is projected to grow, with wide regional variations. China and India are likely to have the largest populations and maintain one of the highest growth rates in the world (especially India). In contrast, the EECCA population is forecasted to fall below the 2005 level. Other European regions are expected to have a small increase in population, taking migration factors into account.
Projected percentage change in total population from 2005 to 2030
Note: International comparisons
Population: United Nation Population Division (UN) World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp/.
- Population trends in Europe from 2005 to 2030 are expected to vary between regions. The WEU population grows by only 1.1 % to around 477 million. The highest growth (16 %) is projected for SEE, from 127 million in 2005 to more than 142 million in 2030. The population in EECCA decreases by 6.1 %, from 277 million in 2005 to 260 million by 2030. The most-populated countries, India and China, continue to grow with the largest increase (31 %) in India, with the population overtaking that in China around 2030. The total population of Canada and USA increases from 330 million in 2005 to 400 million by 2030. The increase in this region (21 %) is expected to be higher than in Europe but lower than in India.
Inout to UN population model - data from national statistics
Output from UN popualtion model - total population projections
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