This map provides an aggregated picture of expected changes in crop yields across Europe for the 2050s (compared with 1961–1990). The simulations by the ClimateCrop model are based on an ensemble of 12 GCMs under the A1B emission scenario. They include effects of changes in temperature, precipitation and CO2 concentration on crop yields of three main crops assuming current irrigated area.
Albania,Andorra,Armenia,Austria,Belarus,Belgium,Bosnia and Herzegovina,Bulgaria,Croatia,Cyprus,Czech Republic,Denmark,Estonia,Finland,France,Georgia,Germany,Greece,Hungary,Iceland,Ireland,Italy,Kazakhstan,Kosovo (UNSCR 1244/99),Latvia,Liechtenstein,Lithuania,Luxembourg,Malta,Moldova,Montenegro,Netherlands,Norway,Poland,Portugal,Romania,Russia,Serbia,Slovakia,Slovenia,Spain,Sweden,Switzerland,The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia,Turkey,Ukraine,United Kingdom
Mean relative changes in water-limited crop yield for three crops simulated by the ClimateCrop model for the 2050s compared with 1961-1990 for 12 different climate models projections under the A1B emission scenario assuming current irrigated area.
Iglesias, A., Garrote, L., Quiroga, S. and Moneo, M., 2012, 'A regional comparison of the effects of climate change on agricultural crops in Europe', Climatic Change 112(1), 29–46 (DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0338-8).
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