This figure shows the mean relative changes in water-limited crop yield simulated by the ClimateCrop model for the 2050s compared with 1961–1990 for 12 different climate models projections under the A1B emission scenario.
Mean relative changes in water-limited crop yield simulated by the ClimateCrop model for the 2050s compared with 1961-1990 for 12 different climate models projections under the A1B emission scenario.
Iglesias, Ana, Quiroga, Sonia and Diz, Agustin, 2011, 'Looking into the future of agriculture in a changing climate', European Review of Agricultural Economics, 38(3), pp.427 –447.
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The ClimateCrop model was applied to explore the combined effects of projected changes in temperature, rainfall and CO2 concentration across Europe, considering effects of adaptation. The mean projected changes show a pattern of decreases in yields along the Mediterranean and large increases in Scandinavia. However, throughout large parts of western and central Europe mean changes in crop yields are likely to be small.