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Modelled remains of the glacier cover in the European Alps for an increase in average summer air temperature of 1 to 5 oC

Figure Created 12 Nov 2009 Published 12 Nov 2009 Last modified 09 Nov 2017
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Modelled remains of the Alpine glacierisation (climatic accumulation area) according to an increase in summer air temperature of +1 to +5 °C. The total of 100% refers to the ice cover of the reference period (1971–90). The 100%-marks of the other lines refer to the fraction of glacierisation of the corresponding Alpine country. Reading example: A rise in summer air temperature of 3 °C would reduce the Alpine ice cover (red curve) to about 20% of the glacier cover of the reference period (1971–90). The corresponding glacier remains of Switzerland (blue, dashed line) amounts to about 30%, whereas in Austria (black, dashed line) only about 7% of the glacier cover of the reference period is left.

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Geographical coverage note: European Alps

Full reference is: Zemp, M., Haeberli, W., Hoelzle, M. and Paul, F. (2006): Alpine glaciers to disappear within decades? Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L13504, doi:10.1029/2006GL026319

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